Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Championship - Round 24

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday


	Ballyclare Comrades		Newry City

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	1.93
	3	3.4	1.92
	3.26	3.88	2	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.15
	3.18	3.72	1.94
	3	3.4	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (1.83)	3.57 ↓ (3.8)	1.98 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ballyclare Comrades
29.4%

Draw
25.2%

Newry City
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

24%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

23.4%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ballyclare Comrades has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ballyclare Comrades's form might have worsened.

Newry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newry City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballyclare Comrades than the current prediction. (+21.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ballyclare Comrades, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newry City than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newry City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Ballyclare Comrades - Newry City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ballyclare will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Newry City will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Healy N. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, McMurtry A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 2 - 1, O'Kelly A. ⚽,
83', 3 - 1, Leetch M. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ballyclare Comrades
Northern Irish Championship
30.12.24	Harland & Wolff Welders - Ballyclare Comrades	3:1 ✺
26.12.24	Ballyclare Comrades - Newington	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Dundela - Ballyclare Comrades	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Ballyclare Comrades - Limavady United	0:4 ✺
07.12.24	Armagh City - Ballyclare Comrades	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTLLW
- Newry City
Northern Irish Cup
04.01.25	Carrick Rangers - Newry City	4:3 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
30.12.24	Newry City - Armagh City	1:1 ✺
26.12.24	Ballinamallard United - Newry City	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Ards - Newry City	0:1 ✺
07.12.24	Limavady United - Newry City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
26.10.24	Ballyclare Comrades - Newry City	3:1
20.09.24	Newry City - Ballyclare Comrades	2:1
Northern Irish League Cup
04.10.22	Ballyclare Comrades - Newry City	1:2
Northern Irish Championship
26.03.22	Ballyclare Comrades - Newry City	1:5
27.12.21	Newry City - Ballyclare Comrades	0:1
26.12.19	Ballyclare Comrades - Newry City	1:1
16.03.18	Ballyclare Comrades - Newry City	0:3

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