Match Info

League One - Round 27

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Ochilview Park (Stenhousemuir)


	Stenhousemuir		Cove Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.6
	1.9	3.1	3.6
	1.95	3.25	3.65
	1.93	3.2	4.36
	1.99	3.21	3.91	Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.8
	1.96	3.38	3.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.9)	3.22 ↓ (3.29)	3.82 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stenhousemuir
47.5%

Draw
28.5%

Cove Rangers
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

27.8%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

27.5%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Cove Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Stenhousemuir aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Stenhousemuir - Cove Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jamieson D. (G) 2. Meechan R. 4. Buchanan G. (C) 6. Graham A. 14. Bilham K. 23. McGill S. 24. Grant L. 22. Whyte O. 25. Ritchie-Hosler K. 12. Cameron Z. 7. O'Reilly E.	1. Mutch R. (G) 2. Bisland L. 6. Eguaibor J. 32. Parker L. 7. Harrington R. 8. Yule B. (C) 15. Darge A. 22. O'Donnell L. 77. Maguire C. 18. Emslie A. 20. Eguaibor D.
Substitutes
9. Aitken M. 10. Gray F. 5. Jamieson N. 34. Lyle C. (G) 11. Taylor R.	21. Demus B. (G) 17. McAllister R. 4. Strachan M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Darge A. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Whyte O. ⚽,
45+1', O'Donnell L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Whyte O. 🟨,
62', McGill S. ↓, Aitken M. ↑,
62', Cameron Z. ↓, Jamieson N. ↑,
69', Ritchie-Hosler K. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
75', Eguaibor D. ↓, McAllister R. ↑,
80', Bilham K. 🟨,
88', O'Reilly E. ↓, Gray F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 3.

Stenhousemuir is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Cove has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cove may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Stenhousemuir will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Stenhousemuir won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1.2:2.2).

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

Cove Rangers: 0.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cove Rangers	9	1	2	6	8:15	-7	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stenhousemuir
Scottish League One
21.02.26	Inverness - Stenhousemuir	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Stenhousemuir - Montrose	2:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
08.02.26	Stenhousemuir - Falkirk	0:2 ET ✺
Scottish League One
31.01.26	Stenhousemuir - Peterhead	2:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
27.01.26	Inverness - Stenhousemuir	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTLTL
- Cove Rangers
Scottish League One
21.02.26	Cove Rangers - Kelty Hearts	1:1 ✺
17.02.26	Cove Rangers - Montrose	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	East Fife - Cove Rangers	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Cove Rangers - Queen of the South	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Alloa Athletic - Cove Rangers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
18.10.25	Cove Rangers - Stenhousemuir	0:1
09.08.25	Stenhousemuir - Cove Rangers	1:0
22.03.25	Cove Rangers - Stenhousemuir	0:0
25.01.25	Stenhousemuir - Cove Rangers	0:4
03.12.24	Cove Rangers - Stenhousemuir	0:3
24.08.24	Stenhousemuir - Cove Rangers	3:2
Scottish Challenge Cup
04.09.21	Cove Rangers - Stenhousemuir	1:0 penalties

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