The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stenhousemuir 41.6%
Draw 27.1%
Queen of the South 31.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.4%
27.4%
30.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
28.8%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Queen of the South has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queen of the South than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Stenhousemuir - Queen of the South Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jamieson D. (G) 21. Ewen K. 4. Buchanan G. (C) 6. Graham A. 14. Bilham K. 23. McGill S. 7. O'Reilly E. 17. Anderson M. 22. Whyte O. 11. Taylor R. 9. Aitken M.
1. Stewart R. (G) 2. Hewitt M. 6. Hannah J. 5. Douglas M. (C) 12. Penman C. 8. Luissint B. 4. Lyon R. 7. Smith L. 11. Dickenson B. 10. Kennedy K. 88. Clark N.
Substitutes
12. Cameron Z. 15. Carrick D. 24. Grant L. 10. Gray F. 34. Lyle C. (G) 8. Robson F. 3. Simpson O.
9. Allan J. 3. Charters T. 26. Green L. (G) 28. Guthrie K. 14. Johnstone B. 16. MacKenzie Z. 20. Mason S. 15. Rogerson N. 18. Stott J.
Coaches
Naysmith G.
Murphy P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Aitken M. ⚽, Bilham K. (A),
19', Bilham K. 🟨,
22', 1 - 1, Clark N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Graham A. ↓, Grant L. ↑,
73', Clark N. 🟨,
83', Douglas M. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
91', Penman C. ↓, MacKenzie Z. ↑,
101', Dickenson B. ↓, Guthrie K. ↑,
103', 2 - 1, Whyte O. ⚽,
105', Hannah J. ↓, Rogerson N. ↑,
105', Luissint B. ↓, Stott J. ↑,
105+1', McGill S. 🟨,
111', O'Reilly E. ↓, Carrick D. ↑,
111', McGill S. ↓, Robson F. ↑,
114', Taylor R. ↓, Gray F. ↑,
117', 2 - 2, Clark N. ⚽, Kennedy K. (A),
120+1', Kennedy K. 🟨,
120+2', Smith L. ↓, Allan J. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Guthrie K. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Buchanan G. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kennedy K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Aitken M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Allan J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Carrick D. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Lyon R. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Anderson M. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Clark N. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Whyte O. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg result: 1-1.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 1.
In recent matches, Stenhousemuir has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Queen of the South is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:22. (average 0.8:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Stenhousemuir won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Stenhousemuir
12
7
2
3
13:9
4
23
Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now
Stenhousemuir: 11.64%
Last Results with these Odds
Stenhousemuir - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.42%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
United Kingdom
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Jamieson D. (G) 
Hannah J. 
Luissint B. 
Green L. (G) 
Murphy P. 
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