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Current Win Probability
Ansan Greeners 24.6%
Draw 27.9%
Cheonan City 47.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27%
26.4%
46.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.1%
25.4%
44.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ansan Greeners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Cheonan City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ansan Greeners than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheonan City than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.2%
25%
68.7%
Ansan Greeners - Cheonan City Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Ansan Greeners will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Cheonan City will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cheonan City: 46.1% – 91.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lee Seung-Bin (G) 2. Jang Hyun-Soo (C) 44. Hartzell T. 15. Obradovic M. 6. Park Kyu-Min 26. Im Ji-min 25. Cho Ji-Hun 13. Kim Geon-Oh 3. Kang Dong-Hyun 10. Gabriel Lima 7. Ryu Seung-Woo
21. Park Dae-Han (G) 4. Choi Jun-Hyeok 6. Choi Kyu-Baek 24. Kwon Yong-seung 27. Park Chang-Woo 99. Bruno Lamas 16. Kim Seong-Ju (C) 23. Lee Dong-Hyeop 7. Lee Sang-Jun 47. Wu J. 10. Toungara A.
Substitutes
9. Chol M. 87. Do Seung-woo 11. Geon-Wook J. 8. Jeong Hyun-woo 22. Jin H. 21. Kim D. (G) 32. Kim S. 55. Lee Hyo-jun 19. Lee J.
18. Ahn Chang-Min 19. Jin Ui-jun 14. Koo J. 11. Lee Ji-Hoon 17. Lee Ji-Seung 9. Lee Joon-Ho 77. Lee Kyu-Min 20. Lee Sang-Yong 33. Lee Seung-Kyu (G)
Coaches
Choi Moon-Sik
Park Jin-sub
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Lee Seung-Bin 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Toungara A. (Penalty Awarded),
24', Wu J. ↓, Lee Joon-Ho ↑,
28', Kwon Yong-seung 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Gabriel Lima (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ryu Seung-Woo ↓, Chol M. ↑,
50', Gabriel Lima 🟨,
56', Kim Seong-Ju ↓, Jin Ui-jun ↑,
56', Kwon Yong-seung ↓, Lee Sang-Yong ↑,
60', 1 - 2, Jin Ui-jun ⚽, Lee Joon-Ho (A),
64', Kim Geon-Oh ↓, Jin H. ↑,
65', Cho Ji-Hun ↓, Kim S. ↑,
65', Lee Seung-Bin ↓, Kim D. ↑,
86', Kang Dong-Hyun ↓, Jeong Hyun-woo ↑,
90+1', Lee Sang-Jun ↓, Lee Kyu-Min ↑,
90+1', Toungara A. ↓, Lee Ji-Hoon ↑,
90+4', 1 - 3, Lee Ji-Hoon ⚽, Lee Joon-Ho (A),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ansan Greeners won 2.
Ansan Greeners has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cheonan City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Cheonan City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ansan Greeners won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Ansan Greeners won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).