Match Info

K League 2 - Round 12

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Cheonan Stadium (Cheonan)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play, Maxports
World	K League TV


	Cheonan City		Paju Frontier

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.35	3.15	2.88
	2.51	3.3	2.99
	2.43	3.24	2.92	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.8
	2.37	3.05	2.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.57)	3.12 ↑ (2.99)	2.87 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cheonan City
38.4%

Draw
29.5%

Paju Frontier
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

31.2%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

31%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheonan City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Paju Frontier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheonan City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Cheonan City - Paju Frontier Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Park Dae-Han (G) 16. Kim Seong-Ju (C) 6. Choi Kyu-Baek 24. Kwon Yong-seung 27. Park Chang-Woo 99. Bruno Lamas 8. Her Dong-Min 23. Lee Dong-Hyeop 7. Lee Sang-Jun 18. Ahn Chang-Min 10. Toungara A.	13. Kim Min-seung (G) 34. Roh S. 4. Kim Hyun-Tae 33. Bonilla J. 2. Kim Min-Sung 20. Hong Jeong-un (C) 40. Amos L. 19. You Jae-jun 8. Choi Bum-Kyung 10. Lee Joon-Suk 92. Baston B.
Substitutes
4. Choi Jun-Hyeok 22. Eo Eun-Gyul 70. Gustavo Sarjani 42. Ha Jae-min 14. Koo J. 11. Lee Ji-Hoon 9. Lee Joon-Ho 20. Lee Sang-Yong 33. Lee Seung-Kyu (G)	47. Choi Sang-yoon 81. Kim Min-Ho 77. Lee Chan-ho 16. Lee D. 18. Lee Jea-Ho 22. Lee Min-Ki 88. Lee Taek-Geun 1. Ryu Won-Woo (G) 7. Walterson Silva
Coaches
Park Jin-sub	Nus G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Bonilla J. 🟨,
27', Kim Seong-Ju 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ahn Chang-Min ↓, Lee Joon-Ho ↑,
50', Baston B. (Penalty Awarded),
51', Choi Kyu-Baek ↓, Choi Jun-Hyeok ↑,
55', Roh S. 🟨,
65', You Jae-jun ↓, Walterson Silva ↑,
65', Lee Sang-Jun ↓, Ha Jae-min ↑,
65', Her Dong-Min ↓, Gustavo Sarjani ↑,
67', Hong Jeong-un 🟨,
73', Roh S. ↓, Lee Min-Ki ↑,
74', Kim Min-Sung ↓, Lee Taek-Geun ↑,
74', 🟨,
74', Park Chang-Woo 🟨,
86', Lee Joon-Suk ↓, Lee Jea-Ho ↑,
86', Amos L. ↓, Lee Chan-ho ↑,
90+6', Hong Jeong-un 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Cheonan City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Paju Frontier has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cheonan City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cheonan City won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Paju Frontier	25	8	5	12	24:28	-4	29
14	Cheonan City	26	4	11	11	30:37	-7	23

Last Results with these Odds

Paju Frontier - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.43%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheonan City FC
South Korean K-League 2
10.05.26	Busan I Park - Cheonan City	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Cheonan City - Chungnam Asan	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Cheonan City - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Daegu - Cheonan City	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Cheonan City - Cheongju	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 LWTWT
- Paju Frontier
South Korean K-League 2
03.05.26	Paju Frontier - Cheongju	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Paju Frontier - Gyeongnam	2:3 ✺
19.04.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Paju Frontier	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Paju Frontier - Seoul E-Land	1:3 ✺
05.04.26	Paju Frontier - Gimhae	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
18.09.22	Paju Frontier - Cheonan City	1:2
14.05.22	Cheonan City - Paju Frontier	0:0
15.09.21	Paju Frontier - Cheonan City	0:1
15.05.21	Cheonan City - Paju Frontier	2:2

Upcoming Matches