Match Info

K League 2 - Round 11

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Busan Gudeok Stadium (Busan)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Busan I Park		Cheonan City

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.66	3.6	4.2
	1.65	3.7	4.75
	1.72	3.88	5.16
	1.67	3.91	4.81	Watch
	1.65	3.6	4.5
	1.63	3.64	4.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.64)	3.69 ↓ (3.83)	4.7 ↑ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busan I Park
55.5%

Draw
24.9%

Cheonan City
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

24%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

22.9%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busan I Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Cheonan City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheonan City than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Busan I Park - Cheonan City Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Busan I Park will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koo Sang-Min (G) 5. Woo Ju-Seong (C) 4. Kim J. 20. Kim Hee-Seung 17. Jeon Seung-Jin 66. Kim Se-Hoon 6. Lee Dong-Su 97. Son J. 13. Kim Hyun-Min 10. Gabriel Honorio 99. Cristian Renato	21. Park Dae-Han (G) 4. Choi Jun-Hyeok 6. Choi Kyu-Baek (C) 24. Kwon Yong-seung 27. Park Chang-Woo 99. Bruno Lamas 14. Koo J. 23. Lee Dong-Hyeop 22. Eo Eun-Gyul 9. Lee Joon-Ho 10. Toungara A.
Substitutes
18. Baek Ga-On 44. Choi Dong-ryeol 22. Choi Ye-Hoon 80. Gutemberg 19. Hong Uk-Hyeon 21. Kim Dong-Wook 8. Kim Min-Hyeok 55. Kwon Jun-seong 34. Park Ji-Min (G)	18. Ahn Chang-Min 70. Gustavo Sarjani 42. Ha Jae-min 8. Her Dong-Min 26. Lee H. 11. Lee Ji-Hoon 7. Lee Sang-Jun 20. Lee Sang-Yong 33. Lee Seung-Kyu (G)
Coaches
Cho S.	Sung-Yong Jo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Eo Eun-Gyul ↓, Gustavo Sarjani ↑,
20', 1 - 0, Kim Hyun-Min ⚽, Gabriel Honorio (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Park Chang-Woo 🟨,
62', Kim Se-Hoon ↓, Gutemberg ↑,
62', Gabriel Honorio ↓, Baek Ga-On ↑,
64', Choi Jun-Hyeok ↓, Lee Sang-Yong ↑,
64', Lee Joon-Ho ↓, Lee Sang-Jun ↑,
64', Lee Dong-Hyeop ↓, Lee Ji-Hoon ↑,
68', Jeon Seung-Jin 🟨,
80', Kim Hyun-Min ↓, Choi Ye-Hoon ↑,
84', Kwon Yong-seung ↓, Ahn Chang-Min ↑,
84', Koo J. ↓, Her Dong-Min ↑,
89', Cristian Renato ↓, Kim Dong-Wook ↑,
90+5', Gustavo Sarjani 🟨,
90+7', Son J. ↓, Kim Min-Hyeok ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Busan I Park won 3.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Recently, Cheonan City has had a series of home games.

In this match, Busan I Park is considered a favorite.

We predict that Busan I Park will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Busan I Park won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Busan I Park won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Busan	26	12	5	9	41:34	7	41
14	Cheonan City	26	4	11	11	30:37	-7	23

Last Results with these Odds

Cheonan City - the odds 4.63 are the expected chance of winning is 19.88%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan I Park
South Korean K-League 2
03.05.26	Gimhae - Busan I Park	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Suwon Bluewings - Busan I Park	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Busan I Park - Suwon	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Busan I Park - Yongin	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Gyeongnam - Busan I Park	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWW
- Cheonan City FC
South Korean K-League 2
03.05.26	Cheonan City - Chungnam Asan	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Cheonan City - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Daegu - Cheonan City	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Cheonan City - Cheongju	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Cheonan City - Jeonnam Dragons	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
08.10.25	Cheonan City - Busan I Park	0:0
17.08.25	Cheonan City - Busan I Park	0:1
16.03.25	Busan I Park - Cheonan City	2:1
02.11.24	Cheonan City - Busan I Park	2:3
22.05.24	Busan I Park - Cheonan City	2:3
10.04.24	Cheonan City - Busan I Park	2:4
07.10.23	Busan I Park - Cheonan City	0:0

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