Match Info

Super Lig - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Corendon Airlines Park (Antalya)

Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2


	Antalyaspor		Alanyaspor

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.25	Watch
	2.87	3.3	2.35
	3.04	3.22	2.29	Watch
	3.2	3.45	2.42
	3.11	3.28	2.33	Watch
	3	3.1	2.25
	3.2	3.31	2.4	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.97)	3.25 ↓ (3.41)	2.34 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antalyaspor
30.9%

Draw
28.9%

Alanyaspor
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

28.1%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

27.8%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antalyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Alanyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antalyaspor than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	27.3%	45.5%

Antalyaspor - Alanyaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Antalyaspor will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Alanyaspor will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alanyaspor: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Julian (G) 7. Balci B. 89. Sari V. (C) 4. Turkmen H. 17. Yesilyurt E. 23. Ceesay J. 11. Ballet S. 8. Safuri R. 6. Dikmen S. 70. Sinik D. 22. van de Streek S.	48. Paulo Victor (G) 3. Lima N. 5. Aliti F. (C) 50. Akdag U. 94. Hadergjonaj F. 58. Maestro 42. Makouta G. 11. Ruan 12. Elia M. 10. Yalcin G. 16. Hwang Ui-Jo
Substitutes
77. Boli Y. 14. Dzhikiya G. 30. Giannetti L. 2. Karakoc S. 10. Omur A. 5. Ozturk B. 3. Paal K. 88. Saric D. 26. Storm N. 21. Yigiter A. (G)	20. Aksoy F. 30. Bruno Viana 6. Celik I. 14. Hagi I. 17. Janvier N. 7. Karaca E. 27. Kaya I. 8. Keskin E. 18. Mogultay B. 1. Taskiran E. (G)
Coaches
Ugurlu S.	Pereira J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Maestro 🟨,
26', Ballet S. 🟨,
45+1', Akdag U. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Maestro ↓, Janvier N. ↑,
61', Yalcin G. ↓, Kaya I. ↑,
65', Lima N. 🟨,
69', Sinik D. ↓, Storm N. ↑,
69', Ruan 🟨,
76', Sari V. ↓, Giannetti L. ↑,
77', Dikmen S. ↓, Saric D. ↑,
77', Hwang Ui-Jo ↓, Hagi I. ↑,
77', Balci B. ↓, Paal K. ↑,
90+2', Safuri R. ↓, Boli Y. ↑,
90+3', Elia M. ↓, Celik I. ↑,
90+3', Dikmen S. 🟨,
90+3', Elia M. 🟨,
90+5', Ruan ↓, Keskin E. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antalyaspor won 2.

Antalyaspor has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alanyaspor is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Alanyaspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Alanyaspor: Mounie S. (Yellow Cards) Ozdemir Y. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Alanyaspor: Aliti F. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Antalyaspor won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Antalyaspor won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:6. (average 1.6:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Alanyaspor	7	3	3	1	8:6	2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Antalyaspor - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 32.24%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Alanyaspor - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 39.65%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antalyaspor
Turkish Super League
25.04.26	Göztepe - Antalyaspor	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Antalyaspor - Konyaspor	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Beşiktaş - Antalyaspor	4:2 ✺
05.04.26	Antalyaspor - Eyüpspor	3:0 ✺
18.03.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Antalyaspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLLWT
- Alanyaspor
Turkish Super League
27.04.26	Alanyaspor - Samsunspor	2:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
23.04.26	Beşiktaş - Alanyaspor	3:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
19.04.26	Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Alanyaspor - Trabzonspor	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Gaziantep - Alanyaspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
08.12.25	Alanyaspor - Antalyaspor	0:0
28.03.25	Antalyaspor - Alanyaspor	2:1
27.10.24	Alanyaspor - Antalyaspor	1:2
24.05.24	Alanyaspor - Antalyaspor	1:1
05.01.24	Antalyaspor - Alanyaspor	0:0
Club Friendly
20.07.23	Antalyaspor - Alanyaspor	2:1
Turkish Super League
14.04.23	Antalyaspor - Alanyaspor	3:1

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