Match Info

TURKEY: SUPER LIG - ROUND 31

Date: 2 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Corendon Airlines Park (Antalya)

Referee: Altay C. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 2


	Antalyaspor		Ankaragücü

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.5	3.9
	1.92	3.55	3.8	Watch
	1.94	3.54	4.26
	1.93	3.52	4.27
	1.91	3.6	3.75
	1.94	3.75	4.09	Watch
	1.88	3.4	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.06)	3.56 ↑ (3.36)	4.01 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antalyaspor
49.6%

Draw
26.7%

Ankaragücü
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

28.1%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

28%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antalyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Ankaragücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antalyaspor than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankaragücü than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	13.3%	26.7%

Antalyaspor - Ankaragücü Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Antalyaspor will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Ankaragücü will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Antalyaspor: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leite H. (G) 17. Yesilyurt E. 89. Sari V. (C) 3. Ozturk B. 11. Vural G. 18. Kaluzinski J. 22. van de Streek S. 16. Safuri R. 8. Saric D. 10. Larsson S. 9. Buksa A.	99. Gungordu B. (G) 70. Kitsiou S. 26. Radakovic U. 18. Mujakic N. 3. Uludag A. 23. Guneren A. K. 30. Cigerci T. 80. Morutan O. 8. Pedrinho 13. Bassogog C. 22. Sowe A.
Substitutes
19. Akyol U. 97. Assombalonga B. 77. Bytyqi Z. 23. Dadakdeniz M. A. (G) 4. Gerxhaliu A. 20. Milosevic D. 44. Naldo 6. Rakip E. 21. Toprak O. 80. Uzun E.	10. Bekiroglu E. 4. Cankaya A. R. 29. Cephas R. 7. Chatzigiovanis A. 28. Demir F. (G) 19. Flips A. 35. Karatas K. 32. Macheda F. 17. Saponara R. 27. Unyay A.
Coaches
Yalcin S.	Belozoglu E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Yesilyurt E. ⚽, Kaluzinski J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Bassogog C. 🟨,
59', Pedrinho ↓, Bekiroglu E. ↑,
59', Bassogog C. ↓, Chatzigiovanis A. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Bekiroglu E. ⚽, Sowe A. (A),
69', Saric D. ↓, Akyol U. ↑,
74', Uludag A. ↓, Karatas K. ↑,
80', Safuri R. ↓, Uzun E. ↑,
80', Larsson S. ↓, Bytyqi Z. ↑,
81', Vural G. 🟨,
87', Guneren A. K. ↓, Flips A. ↑,
88', Morutan O. ↓, Saponara R. ↑,
90+2', van de Streek S. ↓, Assombalonga B. ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Antalyaspor won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Antalyaspor will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Antalyaspor won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Antalyaspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antalyaspor
Turkish Super League
16.03.24	Beşiktaş - Antalyaspor	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Antalyaspor	1:0 ✺
04.03.24	Antalyaspor - Gaziantep	1:0 ✺
26.02.24	Galatasaray - Antalyaspor	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Antalyaspor - İstanbulspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWLT
- MKE Ankaragücü
Turkish Super League
16.03.24	Ankaragücü - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Samsunspor - Ankaragücü	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Ankaragücü - İstanbulspor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
27.02.24	Ankaragücü - Fenerbahçe	3:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
24.02.24	Kayserispor - Ankaragücü	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
10.11.23	Ankaragücü - Antalyaspor	0:4
17.05.23	Ankaragücü - Antalyaspor	1:1
23.12.22	Antalyaspor - Ankaragücü	0:2
04.04.21	Ankaragücü - Antalyaspor	1:0
06.12.20	Antalyaspor - Ankaragücü	1:0
19.07.20	Ankaragücü - Antalyaspor	0:1
20.12.19	Antalyaspor - Ankaragücü	2:2

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