Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 12

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Corendon Airlines Park (Antalya)

Referee: Akarsu A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	Antalyaspor		Bodrumspor

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.3
	2.3	3.1	3.2
	2.35	3.11	3.15
	2.42	3.14	3.3
	2.39	3.11	3.24	Watch
	2.38	3.1	3.1
	2.46	3.15	3.32	Watch
	2.35	3.11	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.18)	3.1 ↓ (3.26)	3.22 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antalyaspor
40%

Draw
30.6%

Bodrumspor
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

28.9%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

29.5%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antalyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antalyaspor than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Antalyaspor - Bodrumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Antalyaspor will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Bodrumspor will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Antalyaspor: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Yigiter A. (G) 17. Yesilyurt E. 89. Sari V. 2. Thalisson Kelven 11. Vural G. 6. Rakip E. 16. Petrusenko O. 5. Dikmen S. 81. Samudio B. 9. Gaich A. 10. Larsson S.	53. Akkan G. (G) 33. Celustka O. 15. Ajeti Ar. 34. Aytemur A. 70. Bilsel E. 21. Aslan A. 41. Bayrakdar G. 16. Fredy 5. Antalyali T. 99. Seferi T. 9. Puscas G.
Substitutes
77. Dursun A. 4. Gerxhaliu A. 18. Kaluzinski J. 34. Ozkan D. (G) 88. Ozmert T. 8. Safuri R. 25. Townsend A. 20. Uzun E. 22. van de Streek S. 27. Yilmaz M.	20. Brazao P. 7. Dimitrov Z. 48. Dumanli C. 1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 18. Obekpa G. 91. Ogruce E. 19. Osman H. 10. Ozer K. 94. Sertkaya Y. 8. Yalcin S.
Coaches
Aurelio M.	Demirel V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Fredy ⚽, Puscas G. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Dikmen S. ⚽, Yesilyurt E. (A),
25', Rakip E. 🟨,
33', Thalisson Kelven 🟨,
35', 2 - 1, Gaich A. ⚽,
39', Sari V. 🟨,
45+2', 3 - 1, Larsson S. ⚽, Yesilyurt E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Antalyali T. ↓, Dimitrov Z. ↑,
46', Rakip E. ↓, Kaluzinski J. ↑,
59', 3 - 2, Puscas G. (Pen),
65', Samudio B. ↓, van de Streek S. ↑,
68', Aslan A. ↓, Yalcin S. ↑,
68', Bayrakdar G. ↓, Brazao P. ↑,
78', Larsson S. ↓, Townsend A. ↑,
78', Dikmen S. ↓, Safuri R. ↑,
78', Fredy ↓, Ogruce E. ↑,
85', Bilsel E. ↓, Dumanli C. ↑,
87', Ajeti Ar. 🟨,
90+3', Gaich A. ↓, Gerxhaliu A. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 15 and 14).

Antalyaspor is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bodrumspor is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Antalyaspor: Ozturk B. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Bodrumspor: Akpinar T. (Shin Injury) Erdilman M. (Knee Injury) Mohammed M. (Red Card) Ozdamar S. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Antalyaspor: Balci B. (Finger Injury) Uzunhan E. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Bodrumspor: Herelle C. (Ankle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antalyaspor
Turkish Super League
04.11.24	Samsunspor - Antalyaspor	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Alanyaspor - Antalyaspor	1:2 ✺
19.10.24	Antalyaspor - Galatasaray	0:3 ✺
04.10.24	Çaykur Rizespor - Antalyaspor	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Antalyaspor - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLL
- Bodrumspor
Turkish Super League
03.11.24	Bodrumspor - Alanyaspor	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Fenerbahçe - Bodrumspor	2:0 ✺
21.10.24	Bodrumspor - Çaykur Rizespor	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Kasımpaşa - Bodrumspor	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Bodrumspor - Adana Demirspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLLTW

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