Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 27

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta (Sabadell)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Sabadell		Algeciras

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.88	4.1
	1.73	3.1	4.5
	1.92	3	4.15
	1.99	2.96	4.84
	1.87	3.1	4.75	Watch
	1.85	2.7	4.2
	2.02	2.97	4.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.79)	2.96 ↓ (3.22)	4.4 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
48.1%

Draw
31%

Algeciras
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28.9%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

30%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Algeciras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sabadell, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Sabadell - Algeciras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuoli D. (G) 7. Ripoll T. 15. Lazaro Cervera J. C. 5. Bonaldo 3. Fornes G. 8. Moreno X. 22. Liameed Q. 20. Orriols Cerarols A. 19. Lopez J. 9. Rodri 23. Priego J.	1. Moreno I. (G) 3. Marquez J. 4. Coch A. 6. Mayorga A. 11. Sanchez T. 17. Aviles J. 24. Castro O. 8. Turrillo I. 20. Alamo J. 7. Rastrojo J. 9. Gonzaga M.
Substitutes
24. Aguilar Elizalde E. 2. Aleman C. 14. Astals D. 17. Coscia A. 16. Godoy A. 11. Martinez R. 18. Ortega J. 10. Ramirez Carrasco M. A. 25. Ruiz N. (G) 26. Tolosa A. 32. Vallina M. (G)	2. Arauz C. 13. Casado S. (G) 21. Garcia J. 10. Garrido D. 16. Gomez A. 19. Obeng I. 23. Riley J. 15. Ruiz V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Aviles J. ⚽,
29', Coch A. 🟨,
45+1', Lazaro Cervera J. C. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Moreno X. ↓, Astals D. ↑,
46', Lopez J. ↓, Coscia A. ↑,
46', Rodri ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
46', Lazaro Cervera J. C. ↓, Ramirez Carrasco M. A. ↑,
46', Mayorga A. 🟨,
50', Ramirez Carrasco M. A. 🟨,
50', Turrillo I. 🟨,
50', 1 - 1, Coscia A. ⚽,
52', Marquez J. 🟨,
55', Coch A. ↓, Ruiz V. ↑,
67', Rastrojo J. ↓, Arauz C. ↑,
67', Aviles J. ↓, Obeng I. ↑,
74', Bonaldo 🟨,
79', 2 - 1, Coscia A. ⚽,
84', Marquez J. ↓, Riley J. ↑,
84', Castro O. ↓, Garrido D. ↑,
86', Ripoll T. 🟨,
86', Priego J. ↓, Aleman C. ↑,
87', Astals D. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 9).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Sabadell is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sabadell won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Sabadell won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Algeciras	6	2	1	3	8:11	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.03.26	Cartagena - Sabadell	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Sabadell - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Ibiza - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Eldense - Sabadell	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Sabadell - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWLLT
- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.03.26	Algeciras - Teruel	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Marbella - Algeciras	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	Algeciras - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Algeciras - Eldense	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Real Murcia - Algeciras	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.09.25	Algeciras - Sabadell	1:2
28.05.22	Sabadell - Algeciras	0:1
25.09.21	Algeciras - Sabadell	0:0

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