Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 4

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Maulí (Antequera)


	Antequera		Castellón

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.25
	3.2	3.1	2.25
	3.11	3.26	2.29
	3.13	3.1	2.31
	3.05	3.05	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (4.52)	3.1 ↓ (3.22)	2.27 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antequera
29.6%

Draw
29.8%

Castellón
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

28.5%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

28%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antequera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Antequera's performance.

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castellón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Antequera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castellón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Antequera - Castellón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moreno I. (G) 6. Pavon A. 12. Fomeyem F. 4. Humanes D. 22. Ruiz F. 5. Marcelo A. 10. Nunez C. 7. Buron L. 17. Garcia A. 9. Redondo L. 28. Ilahude D.	1. Crettaz G. (G) 18. Indias I. 5. Jimenez A. 14. Gil O. 16. Sanchez M. 4. Medunjanin H. 23. Calavera J. 22. Suero I. 17. Ruiz S. 10. Sanchez R. 9. de Miguel J.
Substitutes
11. Conejero M. 27. Enokpa D. 23. Hidalgo A. 16. Marin A. 14. Pais N. 13. Puerto E. (G) 2. Rodriguez D. 20. Rydstrand J. 21. Socorro J. 15. Solano R. 19. Sousa C. 29. Topo	3. Anton J. 12. Chirino D. 28. Fale M. 2. Granero B. 20. Gronning S. 27. Minana S. 7. Moyita S. 24. Schwake B. (G) 35. Torner Rosell S. (G) 33. Vertrouwd J. 19. Villahermosa D.

Preview

Antequera is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Castellón is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Castellón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Antequera have a series of guest games.

Castellón will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antequera CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.09.23	Recreativo Huelva - Antequera	0:0 ✺
03.09.23	Antequera - Real Madrid Castilla	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Atlético Madrid B - Antequera	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Málaga - Antequera	2:1 ✺
31.07.23	Almería - Antequera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLLLT
- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.09.23	Castellón - Intercity	3:1 ✺
03.09.23	Melilla - Castellón	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Castellón - Málaga	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.23	Castellón - Cornellà	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Teruel - Castellón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWLT

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