Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 24

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Maulí (Antequera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Antequera		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.55
	2.46	3.05	2.65
	2.54	3.28	2.73
	2.5	3.22	2.65	Watch
	2.61	3.23	2.66
	2.46	3.05	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.4)	3.16 ↑ (3.15)	2.65 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antequera
36.4%

Draw
29%

Real Madrid Castilla
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

28.9%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

30.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antequera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Antequera - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lario J. (G) 12. Fomeyem F. 23. Luengo Herrera L. M. 4. Perez I. 3. Carrion J. 26. Gonzalez I. 10. Nunez C. 20. Aspra J. 7. Luismi Gutierrez 16. Elejalde I. 9. Longo S.	25. de Luis M. (G) 29. Rivas M. 14. Ramon J. 15. Ribes K. 22. Jimenez D. 27. Fortuny P. 6. Andres C. 8. Moran M. A. 23. Yusi 7. Garcia G. 9. Munoz V.
Substitutes
30. Alcover D. (G) 8. Clavijo D. 19. Fernandez X. 22. Jaime G. 27. Maldonado R. 15. Moreno A. 1. Moreno I. (G) 14. Rubio A. 11. Siddiki O. 6. Toni Arranz 29. Topo	11. Alonso B. 16. Antonio David 20. Campos A. 13. Fran (G) 2. Lorenzo 4. Pujol E. 17. Ruiz D. 36. Yanez D. 19. Zuniga L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Carrion J. 🟨,
43', Moran M. A. ↓, Campos A. ↑,
45+1', Garcia G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Fortuny P. ↓, Alonso B. ↑,
67', Toni Arranz 🟨,
72', Gonzalez I. ↓, Jaime G. ↑,
74', Andres C. 🟨,
79', Aspra J. 🟨,
80', Longo S. ↓, Fernandez X. ↑,
80', Luismi Gutierrez ↓, Clavijo D. ↑,
83', Garcia G. (Pen),
87', Aspra J. ↓, Siddiki O. ↑,
87', Elejalde I. ↓, Rubio A. ↑,
90+3', Munoz V. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 7).

Recent matches Antequera is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Madrid Castilla in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Antequera will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Antequera won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Antequera won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antequera CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.02.25	Ibiza - Antequera	5:3 ✺
01.02.25	Antequera - Fuenlabrada	3:4 ✺
24.01.25	Antequera - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Villarreal B - Antequera	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Antequera - Real Murcia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWTW
- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.02.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:0 ✺
31.01.25	Algeciras - Real Madrid Castilla	1:4 ✺
26.01.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Villarreal B	2:2 ✺
17.01.25	Betis B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:3 ✺
11.01.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Alcoyano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.11.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Antequera	1:2
09.03.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Antequera	0:0
03.09.23	Antequera - Real Madrid Castilla	1:2

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