Match Info

Date: 2 December 2020, Wednesday


	Antigua GFC		Santa Lucia

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.2	5.5
	1.65	3.4	4.25
	1.68	3.3	4.8
	1.71	3.43	5.21
	1.67	3.2	5
	1.71	3.52	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.76)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)	4.89 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antigua GFC
54.3%

Draw
27.2%

Santa Lucia
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

26.3%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

17.8%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antigua GFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Santa Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (-19.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Antigua GFC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Lucia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Antigua GFC - Santa Lucia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Santa Lucia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Antigua is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Antigua won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Antigua won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antigua GFC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
29.11.20	Deportivo Guastatoya - Antigua GFC	2:2 ✺
25.11.20	Municipal - Antigua GFC	4:0 ✺
22.11.20	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Achuapa	2:0 ✺
08.11.20	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Sanarate	3:3 ✺
CONCACAF League
03.11.20	CD Marathón - Antigua GFC	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLWTL
- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese Premier League
28.11.20	Gżira United - Santa Lucia	2:2 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
25.11.20	Maglódi - Santa Lucia	2:0 ✺
21.11.20	Santa Lucia - Sacachispas	2:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
20.11.20	Santa Lucia - Lija Athletic	3:2 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
07.11.20	Santa Lucia - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
30.08.20	Santa Lucia - Antigua GFC	0:1
02.02.20	Antigua GFC - Santa Lucia	0:0
10.11.19	Antigua GFC - Santa Lucia	4:0
01.09.19	Santa Lucia - Antigua GFC	0:0

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