Match Info

Date: 7 November 2020, Saturday


	Santa Lucia		Deportivo Guastatoya

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2	3.2	3.4
	1.98	3.2	3.25
	1.89	3.1	3.9
	1.96	3.15	4.14
	2	3	3.6
	1.98	3.22	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.3)	3.14 ↑ (3.08)	3.54 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Lucia
45.2%

Draw
29%

Deportivo Guastatoya
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

29%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

21.2%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Lucia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Lucia's performance.

Deportivo Guastatoya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Guastatoya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Lucia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Guastatoya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santa Lucia - Deportivo Guastatoya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Guastatoya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Santa Lucia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Santa Lucia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Lucia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Lucia FC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
31.10.20	Deportivo Iztapa - Santa Lucia	1:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
30.10.20	Mosta - Santa Lucia	1:0 ✺
Guatemala Liga Nacional
26.10.20	Santa Lucia - Comunicaciones	0:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
25.10.20	Santa Lucia - Valletta	1:1 ✺
20.10.20	Tarxien Rainbows - Santa Lucia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLTTW
- Deportivo Guastatoya
Guatemala Liga Nacional
31.10.20	Maglódi - Deportivo Guastatoya	3:1 ✺
25.10.20	Deportivo Guastatoya - Sacachispas	3:3 ✺
18.10.20	Deportivo Achuapa - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:1 ✺
14.10.20	Deportivo Sanarate - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:2 ✺
10.10.20	Deportivo Guastatoya - Municipal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
12.02.20	Santa Lucia - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:0
03.11.19	Santa Lucia - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:2
25.08.19	Deportivo Guastatoya - Santa Lucia	0:0

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