Match Info

K League 1 - Round 26

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Jeju World Cup Stadium (Seogwipo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Jeju		Daejeon Citizen

	1	X	2
	3.60	3.40	1.90	Watch
	3.75	3.40	1.93
	3.20	3.20	2.02
	3.97	3.60	1.99
	3.49	3.4	2.07	Watch
	3.90	3.55	1.96
	3.76	3.55	1.98	Watch
	3.70	3.40	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.2)	3.44 ↑ (3.15)	1.98 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jeju
25.5%

Draw
27.2%

Daejeon Citizen
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

28.3%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

27.7%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jeju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Daejeon Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeju than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daejeon Citizen than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Jeju - Daejeon Citizen Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Jeju will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Daejeon Citizen will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Daejeon Citizen: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC, 1st Half - Jeju (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jeju (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim Dong-Jun (G) 47. Park Min-jae 6. Kwon Gi-min 3. Celestine J. 13. Jeong Woon (C) 22. Cinari E. 5. Italo 20. Jang M. 33. Park Su-bin 94. Emerson Negueba 9. Matheus Aias	1. Lee Chang-Geun (G) 16. Lee Myung-Jae 98. Krivotsyuk A. 4. Cho Sung-Gwon 6. Kang Yun-Sung 44. Lee Soon-Min 30. Kim Bong-Soo 17. Ludwigson G. 7. Ishida M. 27. Jeong Jae-Hee 10. Joo Min-Kyu (C)
Substitutes
24. Choi Byung-wook 81. Heo J. (G) 88. Jo In-jung 41. Kim Jae-Woo 18. Kim Shin-Jin 7. Park Chang-Jun 11. Shin Sang-Eun 77. Yoo S. 17. Yu In-Soo	9. Diogo Oliveira 45. Ha Chang-Rae 70. Kim Hyeon-Ug 14. Kim Jun-Beom 31. Kim Min-Soo (G) 41. Park Byung-chan 2. Park K. 19. Seo Jin-Su 8. Victor Bobsin
Coaches
Costa S.	Hwang Sun-Hong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Matheus Aias ⚽, Cinari E. (A),
41', Emerson Negueba 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ishida M. ↓, Kim Jun-Beom ↑,
46', Jeong Jae-Hee ↓, Seo Jin-Su ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Matheus Aias ⚽, Emerson Negueba (A),
58', Italo 🟨,
59', Joo Min-Kyu ↓, Diogo Oliveira ↑,
59', Kim Bong-Soo ↓, Victor Bobsin ↑,
67', Cinari E. ↓, Yu In-Soo ↑,
71', Jeong Woon 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, Seo Jin-Su ⚽, Lee Myung-Jae (A),
78', Park Min-jae ↓, Choi Byung-wook ↑,
86', Kim Jae-Woo ↓, Park Chang-Jun ↑,
90+1', Cho Sung-Gwon ↓, Ha Chang-Rae ↑,
90+10', 3 - 1, Emerson Negueba ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jeju won 1.

Recent performances by Jeju have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Daejeon Citizen is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Jeju may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Daejeon Citizen might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jeju won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Jeju won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Jeju SK	31	12	10	9	36:31	5	46
6	Daejeon	31	11	10	10	48:38	10	43

Last Results with these Odds

Daejeon Citizen - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 43.76%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jeju SK
South Korean K-League 1
25.08.26	Jeju - Pohang Steelers	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Jeju - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
19.08.26	Anyang - Jeju	2:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
15.08.26	Jeju - Anyang	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Jeju	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LTLWW
- Daejeon Citizen
South Korean K-League 1
26.08.26	Daejeon Citizen - Ulsan HD	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Daejeon Citizen - Gangwon	3:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
19.08.26	Chungnam Asan - Daejeon Citizen	2:3 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
15.08.26	FC Seoul - Daejeon Citizen	4:2 ✺
08.08.26	Anyang - Daejeon Citizen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
12.07.26	Jeju - Daejeon Citizen	0:0
22.04.26	Daejeon Citizen - Jeju	0:1
18.10.25	Daejeon Citizen - Jeju	3:1
27.06.25	Daejeon Citizen - Jeju	1:1
15.03.25	Jeju - Daejeon Citizen	1:3
24.11.24	Daejeon Citizen - Jeju	2:1
06.10.24	Jeju - Daejeon Citizen	2:1

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