Match Info

K League 1 - Round 21

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium (Ulsan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
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Germany	Laola1
Russia	TV Start Triumph
South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Ulsan HD		Anyang

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.40	3.20	Watch
	2.05	3.50	3.25
	1.90	3.45	3.40
	2.19	3.76	3.44
	1.88	3.62	3.91	Watch
	2.14	3.70	3.20
	2.06	3.52	3.35	Watch
	2.06	3.50	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.88)	3.56 ↑ (3.53)	3.38 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulsan HD
45.8%

Draw
26.4%

Anyang
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

26.3%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

26.9%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Anyang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anyang than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ulsan HD - Anyang Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Anyang will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (G) 4. Seo Myung-Guan 15. Jung Seung-Hyun 19. Kim Young-Gwon (C) 33. Jang Si-Young 24. Lee Gyu-Seong 55. Oude Kotte T. 26. Cho Hyun-Taek 14. Lee Jin-Hyun 10. Lee Dong-Gyeong 11. Erick Farias	23. Kim Jeong-Hoon (G) 17. Kang Ji-hun 4. Lee Chang-Yong (C) 21. Kwon Kyung-Won 22. Kim Dong-Jin 7. Matheus Oliveira 8. Kim Jung-Hyun 18. Knezevic B. 27. Choi Geon-Joo 9. Breno Herculano 10. Jukic I.
Substitutes
6. Bojanic D. 43. Jo M. 17. Kang Sang-Woo 8. Lee H. 28. Lee Jae-Ik 22. Lee Min-Hyuk 13. Ryu Seong-Min (G) 77. Sim Sang-Min 99. Yago Cariello	28. Blaise Tsague 71. Chae Hyun-woo 13. Han K. 24. Kim Bo-Kyung 31. Kim Da-Sol (G) 25. Kim J. 5. Kim Young-Chan 26. Lee Jin-Yong 14. Moon Seong-Woo
Coaches
Kim Hyun-seok	Ryu Byeong-hoon

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Matheus Oliveira ⚽, Jukic I. (A),
58', Jang Si-Young ↓, Sim Sang-Min ↑,
58', Lee Jin-Hyun ↓, Yago Cariello ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Yago Cariello (Penalty Awarded),
64', Breno Herculano ↓, Blaise Tsague ↑,
67', Kim Jung-Hyun 🟨,
72', 2 - 1, Lee Dong-Gyeong ⚽,
77', 3 - 1, Lee Dong-Gyeong ⚽,
79', Kim Jung-Hyun ↓, Chae Hyun-woo ↑,
79', Choi Geon-Joo ↓, Lee Jin-Yong ↑,
84', Erick Farias ↓, Kang Sang-Woo ↑,
84', Kim Young-Gwon ↓, Lee Jae-Ik ↑,
88', Jukic I. ↓, Kim Bo-Kyung ↑,
88', Kim Dong-Jin ↓, Kim J. ↑,
89', Lee Dong-Gyeong ↓, Lee H. ↑,
90+5', Matheus Oliveira (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ))

Ulsan is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Anyang is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Anyang may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ulsan is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulsan won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ulsan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ulsan HD	31	14	5	12	48:44	4	47
8	Anyang	31	10	11	10	39:47	-8	41

Last Results with these Odds

Ulsan HD - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.39%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulsan HD
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Ulsan Citizen - Ulsan HD	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
26.07.26	FC Seoul - Ulsan HD	1:3 ✺
21.07.26	Ulsan HD - Incheon United	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Daejeon Citizen - Ulsan HD	2:2 ✺
11.07.26	Ulsan HD - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLTL
- FC Anyang
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Cheongju - Anyang	1:3 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
26.07.26	Anyang - Gangwon	2:1 ✺
22.07.26	Bucheon - Anyang	2:3 ✺
19.07.26	Anyang - Gwangju	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Incheon United - Anyang	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
22.04.26	Anyang - Ulsan HD	1:1
01.11.25	Anyang - Ulsan HD	3:1
21.09.25	Ulsan HD - Anyang	0:0
23.04.25	Anyang - Ulsan HD	0:1
16.02.25	Ulsan HD - Anyang	0:1

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