The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Daejeon Citizen 41.2%
Draw 26.4%
Ulsan HD 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.1%
27.9%
33%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
28.5%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daejeon Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daejeon Citizen than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
22.2%
11.1%
Daejeon Citizen - Ulsan HD Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Daejeon Citizen will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Ulsan will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Daejeon Citizen: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Daejeon Citizen (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Daejeon Citizen (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lee Chang-Geun (G) 33. Kim Moon-Hwan 45. Ha Chang-Rae (C) 4. Cho Sung-Gwon 16. Lee Myung-Jae 30. Kim Bong-Soo 44. Lee Soon-Min 27. Jeong Jae-Hee 7. Ishida M. 19. Seo Jin-Su 9. Diogo Oliveira
21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (G) 4. Seo Myung-Guan 15. Jung Seung-Hyun (C) 66. Trojak M. 33. Jang Si-Young 24. Lee Gyu-Seong 55. Oude Kotte T. 26. Cho Hyun-Taek 14. Lee Jin-Hyun 10. Lee Dong-Gyeong 11. Erick Farias
Substitutes
77. Joao Victor 10. Joo Min-Kyu 6. Kang Yun-Sung 14. Kim Jun-Beom 31. Kim Min-Soo (G) 5. Lim Jong-Eun 17. Ludwigson G. 41. Park Byung-chan 8. Victor Bobsin
6. Bojanic D. 96. Choi Seok-Hyun 31. Hwang Byeong-Keun (G) 43. Jo M. 17. Kang Sang-Woo 19. Kim Young-Gwon 8. Lee H. 9. Marcao 77. Sim Sang-Min
Coaches
Hwang Sun-Hong
Kim Hyun-seok
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Diogo Oliveira ↓, Joo Min-Kyu ↑,
46', Kim Moon-Hwan ↓, Kang Yun-Sung ↑,
48', Oude Kotte T. 🟨,
49', 0 - 1, Lee Jin-Hyun ⚽,
51', Joo Min-Kyu 🟨,
59', Jang Si-Young ↓, Sim Sang-Min ↑,
59', Erick Farias ↓, Lee H. ↑,
64', Ishida M. ↓, Ludwigson G. ↑,
65', Jo Hyeon-Woo 🟨,
72', Trojak M. ↓, Kim Young-Gwon ↑,
72', Lee Jin-Hyun ↓, Kang Sang-Woo ↑,
80', Seo Jin-Su ↓, Kim Jun-Beom ↑,
84', 🟨,
84', Ha Chang-Rae ↓, Victor Bobsin ↑,
84', Kim Bong-Soo 🟨,
90', Lee Gyu-Seong ↓, Bojanic D. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Jeong Jae-Hee ⚽, Ludwigson G. (A),
90+7', 2 - 1, Ludwigson G. ⚽, Jeong Jae-Hee (A),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daejeon Citizen won 3.
Daejeon Citizen is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Ulsan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Daejeon Citizen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Daejeon Citizen won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:33. (average 1.3:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Daejeon Citizen won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.8:1.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Ulsan HD
31
14
5
12
48:44
4
47
6
Daejeon
31
11
10
10
48:38
10
43
Last Results with these Odds
Ulsan HD - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.03%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Australia
Austria
Germany
Russia
South-korea
Usa
World
Watch
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Lee Chang-Geun (G) 
Ishida M. 
Diogo Oliveira 
Trojak M. 
Oude Kotte T. 
Ludwigson G. 
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