Match Info

Date: 17 September 2021, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Aparecidense		Caldense

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Aparecidense
53.1%

Draw
26.6%

Caldense
20.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.8%

26.9%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

23.1%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aparecidense's performance.

Caldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caldense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aparecidense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldense than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caldense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Aparecidense is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aparecidense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Aparecidense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie D
11.09.21	Caldense - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
04.09.21	Nova Mutum - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
28.08.21	Aparecidense - Gama	2:1 ✺
21.08.21	Aparecidense - Goianésia	4:1 ✺
14.08.21	Jaraguá - Aparecidense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWWT
- AA Caldense
Brazilian Serie D
11.09.21	Caldense - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
05.09.21	Caldense - Rio Branco AC ES	1:2 ✺
28.08.21	Ferroviária - Caldense	3:1 ✺
21.08.21	Caldense - Boa Esporte	0:1 ✺
14.08.21	Uberlândia - Caldense	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLLW

Aparecidense - Caldense