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Current Win Probability
Aparecidense 47.1%
Draw 29.9%
Ceilândia 23%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.5%
29.1%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.9%
28.1%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aparecidense's performance.
Ceilândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ceilândia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aparecidense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ceilândia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aparecidense - Ceilândia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Moraes ⚽,
43', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 2 - 0, Kaio Nunes ⚽,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aparecidense won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Aparecidense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Aparecidense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 2:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Aparecidense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
Watch
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