Match Info

Serie D - Round 7

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday


	Porto Velho		Ceilândia

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.3	2.25
	2.7	3.4	2.27
	2.71	3.53	2.29	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.27
	2.7	3.4	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.6)	3.41 ↑ (3.3)	2.27 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto Velho
33.5%

Draw
26.6%

Ceilândia
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

26.1%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

25.1%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto Velho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Ceilândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto Velho than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Porto Velho - Ceilândia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Junior Timbo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 0 - 2, Junior Timbo ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Porto Velho has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ceilândia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Porto Velho has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porto Velho EC
Brazilian Serie D
24.05.25	Luverdense - Porto Velho	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Goianésia - Porto Velho	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Goiânia - Porto Velho	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Porto Velho - Capital CF Ltda	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Mixto - Porto Velho	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLLL
- Ceilândia
Brazilian Serie D
24.05.25	Ceilândia - Aparecidense	2:3 ✺
17.05.25	Mixto - Ceilândia	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Luverdense - Ceilândia	2:2 ✺
03.05.25	Ceilândia - Capital CF Ltda	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Ceilândia - Goiânia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTTWW

Porto Velho - Ceilândia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide