Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 12

Date: 9 July 2023, Sunday


	Aparecidense		EC São José Porto Alegre

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.7	2.9
	2.35	2.75	3
	2.52	2.81	3.29
	2.4	2.62	3
	2.43	2.94	2.99	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.18)	2.77 ↓ (2.95)	3.02 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aparecidense
37.2%

Draw
32.8%

EC São José Porto Alegre
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

30.6%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

30.9%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

EC São José Porto Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Aparecidense - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Henrique (G) 9. Alan James 11. Calyson Rosa 2. David 5. Ferreira 8. Genilson 7. Guilherme Nunes 4. Leo Rigo 10. Robert (C) 6. Rodrigues 3. Vanderley	1. Fabio (G) 5. Bruno Jesus 4. Jadson 8. Karl 6. Lucas Sampaio 14. Rafael Carillho 3. Ryan 7. Sillas 20. Thalys 11. Thayllon 19. Thiago Santos
Substitutes
18. Alex Henrique 25. Caio Callyman 13. Eduardo Thuram 21. Evanderson 15. Felipe Manoel 19. Jackson 22. Joao Diogo 17. Matheus Leal 14. Naldo 20. Rafa Marcos 16. Raphael Luz 12. William Menezes (G)	13. Dener 17. Guilherme Biteco 15. Lissandro 12. Lorenzo (G) 2. Marco 23. Matheuzinho 16. Neko 10. Rondinelly 18. Thiaguinho 9. Vitinho

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Aparecidense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

EC São José Porto Alegre is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aparecidense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aparecidense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Aparecidense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie C
01.07.23	Aparecidense - Manaus	1:0 ✺
26.06.23	Operário Ferroviario - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
20.06.23	CS Alagoano - Aparecidense	1:1 ✺
11.06.23	Aparecidense - Remo	0:2 ✺
08.06.23	Aparecidense - Brusque	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLTLL
- EC São José Porto Alegre
Brazilian Serie C
03.07.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - América RN	2:0 ✺
25.06.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - São Bernardo	2:2 ✺
18.06.23	Manaus - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:4 ✺
11.06.23	Ypiranga - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:0 ✺
07.06.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - Altos	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
05.06.22	Aparecidense - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:2

Aparecidense - EC São José Porto Alegre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide