Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 11

Date: 3 July 2023, Monday


	EC São José Porto Alegre		América RN

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.4
	2	3.1	3.4
	2.07	2.93	3.93
	1.95	2.88	3.7
	1.99	3.14	3.76	Watch
	2.06	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.65)	3.03 ↑ (3)	3.6 ↓ (5.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC São José Porto Alegre
45%

Draw
29.9%

América RN
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

29.8%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

28.6%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that EC São José Porto Alegre's form might have worsened.

América RN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting América RN's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for EC São José Porto Alegre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América RN than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for América RN, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

EC São José Porto Alegre - América RN Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. EC São José will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (G) 4. Bruno Jesus 8. Karl 5. Lucas Cunha 6. Lucas Sampaio 17. Nonato 3. Ryan 7. Sillas 20. Thalys 11. Thayllon 19. Thiago Santos	1. Bruno (G) 39. Alvaro 8. Araujo 33. Ferreira de Amorim A. 35. Gilvan 20. Gustavo Ramos 3. Jean Pierre (C) 17. Joao Lucas 27. Luan Sales 11. Rafinha 16. Rodriguinho
Substitutes
13. Dener 16. Guilherme Biteco 21. Kayan 12. Lorenzo (G) 2. Marco 22. Matheuzinho 15. Neko 14. Rafael Carillho 10. Rondinelly 18. Thiaguinho 9. Vitinho	7. Allef 23. Buiu 30. Carlao (G) 10. Elvinho 14. Everton Sena 21. Frank 37. Gabriel Silva 38. Leo Rafael 13. Renan Gorne 9. Wallace Pernambucano

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 14).

Recent matches EC São José Porto Alegre is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

América RN is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

EC São José Porto Alegre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

EC São José Porto Alegre will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São José Porto Alegre
Brazilian Serie C
25.06.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - São Bernardo	2:2 ✺
18.06.23	Manaus - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:4 ✺
11.06.23	Ypiranga - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:0 ✺
07.06.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - Altos	4:1 ✺
04.06.23	Paysandu - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWLWT
- América RN
Brazilian Serie C
28.06.23	CS Alagoano - América RN	0:1 ✺
17.06.23	América RN - Confiança	0:1 ✺
11.06.23	América RN - Brusque	2:1 ✺
08.06.23	Remo - América RN	0:0 ✺
02.06.23	América RN - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WLWTW

EC São José Porto Alegre - América RN: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide