Match Info

Cyprus League - Championship Group - Round 35

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Alphamega Stadium (Kolossi)

Referee: Theouli C. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2


	Apollon Limassol		Aris Limassol

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.5	3.65
	1.9	3.82	4.04
	1.8	3.81	3.98	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.6
	1.81	3.68	4.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.09)	3.64 ↑ (3.27)	3.86 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Apollon Limassol
50.4%

Draw
25.6%

Aris Limassol
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28.5%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

28.5%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Apollon Limassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Apollon Limassol's performance.

Aris Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apollon Limassol than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Apollon Limassol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris Limassol than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Apollon Limassol - Aris Limassol Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aris Limassol (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Aris Limassol (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Aris Limassol (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Apollon Limassol will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Aris Limassol (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Kuhn P. (G) 4. Adoni Z. 5. Brown M. 30. Escriche D. 76. Gaspar B. 44. Kvida J. 77. Ljubic I. 14. Malekkidis G. 10. Rodrigues G. 27. Weissbeck G. 80. Youssef A.	90. Sofroniou E. (G) 27. Balogun L. 18. Bourhane Y. 76. Charalampous C. 99. Effaghe R. 40. Ergas R. 29. Gaustad D. 30. Gustavo Paje 2. Kalulu G. 66. Montnor J. 22. Nikolic V.
Substitutes
86. Charalambous P. 3. Lam T. 41. Leeuwenburgh P. (G) 43. Marques P. 91. Polyviou I. 89. Rotis R. 26. Shikkis A. 31. Stylianou K. (G) 45. Vrikkis A.	12. Dimitriou A. 88. Fi Akamba C. 80. Kakoullis A. 28. Kastanos G. 9. Kokorin A. 45. McCausland R. 38. Melas G. 36. Neokleous V. 26. Pishias A. (G) 39. Pourikkos S. 19. Sane M. 1. Vana Alves (G)
Coaches
Losada H.	Louka L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', Gaspar B. ↓, Shikkis A. ↑,
14', 1 - 0, Youssef A. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Youssef A. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 0, Escriche D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Sofroniou E. ↓, Vana Alves ↑,
46', Ergas R. ↓, Kastanos G. ↑,
46', Kalulu G. ↓, Sane M. ↑,
46', Gaustad D. ↓, McCausland R. ↑,
46', Brown M. ↓, Lam T. ↑,
60', Youssef A. ↓, Marques P. ↑,
60', Weissbeck G. ↓, Charalambous P. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Effaghe R. ⚽,
72', Nikolic V. ↓, Kakoullis A. ↑,
74', 3 - 2, Kakoullis A. ⚽,
80', Rodrigues G. ↓, Vrikkis A. ↑,
81', Charalampous C. 🟨,
90', Adoni Z. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Apollon Limassol won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Apollon Limassol is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Apollon Limassol: Duodu C. (Inactive) Vouros P. (Inactive) Zmrhal J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Aris Limassol: Gomis Y. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Aris Limassol: Ergas R. (Inactive)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Apollon Limassol won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:28. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Apollon Limassol won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.5:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Apollon	4	1	3	0	7:5	2	6
8	Aris	4	1	2	1	4:6	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Apollon Limassol
Cypriot First Division
10.05.26	Apollon Limassol - APOEL	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	AEK Larnaca - Apollon Limassol	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Apollon Limassol - Paphos	2:1 ✺
Cypriot Cup
29.04.26	APOEL - Apollon Limassol	0:0 ✺
Cypriot First Division
26.04.26	Apollon Limassol - Omonia	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWTL
- Aris Limassol FC
Cypriot First Division
10.05.26	Paphos - Aris Limassol	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Aris Limassol - APOEL	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Omonia - Aris Limassol	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	AEK Larnaca - Aris Limassol	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Aris Limassol - Apollon Limassol	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
18.04.26	Aris Limassol - Apollon Limassol	3:0
14.12.25	Apollon Limassol - Aris Limassol	0:2
23.08.25	Aris Limassol - Apollon Limassol	3:1
18.05.25	Apollon Limassol - Aris Limassol	2:3
13.04.25	Aris Limassol - Apollon Limassol	2:1
07.01.25	Apollon Limassol - Aris Limassol	1:1
21.09.24	Aris Limassol - Apollon Limassol	0:0

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