Match Info

Date: 15 September 2022, Thursday

Location: Tsirion Stadium (Limassol)

Referee: Farkas A. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Apollon Limassol		Dnipro-1

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.6
	2.15	3.2	3.4
	2.15	3.15	3.75
	2.2	3.05	3.45
	2.25	3.1	3.61
	2.15	3.2	3.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.69)	3.13 ↓ (3.8)	3.54 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Apollon Limassol
43.1%

Draw
30.2%

Dnipro-1
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

24.6%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

24%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Apollon Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Apollon Limassol's form might have worsened.

Dnipro-1 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dnipro-1's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apollon Limassol than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Apollon Limassol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dnipro-1 than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dnipro-1, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.9%	34.9%	23.3%

Apollon Limassol - Dnipro 1 Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Apollon Limassol will win (votes: 18 - 41.9%). Dnipro-1 will win (votes: 10 - 23.3%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 34.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Apollon Limassol: 27.2% – 56.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Apollon Limassol has currently - 1, has a small chance of 1st (9%), has a chance of 2nd (32%), has a chance of 3rd (44%), has a chance of round of 16 (22%), has a small chance of qtrs (8%), has a very small chance of semis (3%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Dnipro-1 has currently - 0, has a small chance of 1st (10%), has a chance of 2nd (46%), has a chance of 3rd (31%), has a chance of round of 16 (34%), has a small chance of qtrs (15%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has quality 50, very big importance 100, big match rating 75. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Apollon Limassol is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Dnipro-1 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Apollon Limassol is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Apollon Limassol
Cypriot First Division
11.09.22	Apollon Limassol - Omonia	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.09.22	Vaduz - Apollon Limassol	0:0 ✺
Cypriot First Division
03.09.22	Doxa Katokopias - Apollon Limassol	0:1 ✺
30.08.22	Apollon Limassol - Enosis Neon Paralimni	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.08.22	Olympiacos Piraeus - Apollon Limassol	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTWWL
- FC Dnipro-1
Ukrainian Premier League
11.09.22	Dnipro-1 - Kharkiv	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.09.22	Dnipro-1 - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
03.09.22	Dnipro-1 - Veres Rivne	2:0 ✺
28.08.22	Dynamo Kyiv - Dnipro-1	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.08.22	AEK Larnaca - Dnipro-1	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WLWWL

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