The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dnipro-1 13.5%
Draw 20.4%
AZ Alkmaar 66.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
16.5%
22.7%
60.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17%
23.4%
59.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dnipro-1 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AZ Alkmaar's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dnipro-1 than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
6.2%
77.1%
Dnipro 1 - AZ Alkmaar Predictions
Users Predictions:
48 users predict this event. Dnipro-1 will win (votes: 8 - 16.7%). AZ will win (votes: 37 - 77.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 65.2% โ 89%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Dnipro-1 has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (29%), has a chance of 2nd (37%), has a chance of 3rd (27%), has a chance of round of 16 (48%), has a chance of qtrs (23%), has a small chance of semis (10%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
AZ has currently - 0, has a good chance of 1st (55%), has a chance of 2nd (29%), has a small chance of 3rd (13%), has a good chance of round of 16 (74%), has a chance of qtrs (45%), has a chance of semis (25%), has a small chance of final (12%), has a small chance of win league (6%).
This event has quality61, importance57, match rating59. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Dnipro-1 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
AZ is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
AZ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match AZ is the unquestionable favorite.
There will not play in AZ: Karlsson J.
(Injury)
Pavlidis V.
(Injury)
Vanheusden Z.
(Injury)
There are questionable in AZ: Martins Indi B.
(Injury)