The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Apollon Smyrni 18.5%
Draw 27.6%
Aris 53.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23%
28.5%
48.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Apollon Smyrni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aris's recent form is better than expected.
Apollon Smyrni - Aris Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group) and 7 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group)).
Apollon Smyrni has the most likely position - 14 (47.01%), has project points - 26, has currently - 8, has a good chance of relegated (58%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Aris has the most likely position - 5 (22.97%), has project points - 52, has currently - 27, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Apollon Smyrni is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Aris is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Apollon Smyrni could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Aris have a series of guest games.
In this match Aris is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Apollon Smyrni won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Apollon Smyrni won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.
Watch
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