The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Panetolikos 39.7%
Draw 33%
Apollon Smyrni 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
31.3%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.9%
21.3%
40.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panetolikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Apollon Smyrni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panetolikos than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Panetolikos that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apollon Smyrni than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Apollon Smyrni could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Panetolikos - Apollon Smyrni Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group) and 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group)).
Panetolikos has the most likely position - 14 (21.29%), has project points - 32, has currently - 5, has a chance of relegated (31%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Apollon Smyrni has the most likely position - 14 (23.19%), has project points - 32, has currently - 6, has a chance of relegated (32%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
Panetolikos will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Panetolikos won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Panetolikos won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.
Watch
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