The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Apollon Smyrni 28.9%
Draw 32.4%
Atromitos Athens 38.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
31.4%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.4%
21.6%
39.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Apollon Smyrni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Apollon Smyrni's form might have worsened.
Atromitos Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atromitos Athens's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apollon Smyrni than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atromitos Athens than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
17.1%
22.9%
60%
Apollon Smyrni - Atromitos Athens Predictions
Users Predictions:
70 users predict this event. Apollon Smyrni will win (votes: 12 - 17.1%). Atromitos will win (votes: 42 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 22.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Atromitos: 48.5% โ 71.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group) and 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group)).
Apollon Smyrni is Super League (Relegation Group)
Atromitos is Super League (Relegation Group)
Apollon Smyrni has the most likely position - 14 (79.98%), has project points - 21, has currently - 13, has a good chance of relegated (88%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Atromitos has the most likely position - 12 (51.24%), has project points - 30, has currently - 17, has a chance of relegated (21%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has small quality17, importance39, small match rating28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Apollon Smyrni won 0.
Apollon Smyrni is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Atromitos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Apollon Smyrni won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 17-30.
Including matches at home between the teams Apollon Smyrni won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-13.
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