The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lamia 46.6%
Draw 31%
Apollon Smyrni 22.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.5%
28.6%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.3%
22.9%
15.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lamia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Apollon Smyrni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lamia than the current prediction. (+17.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lamia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apollon Smyrni than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Apollon Smyrni, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lamia - Apollon Smyrni Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group) and 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group)).
Lamia is Super League (Relegation Group)
Apollon Smyrni is Super League (Relegation Group)
Lamia has the most likely position - 13 (38.25%), has project points - 32, has currently - 18, has a chance of relegated (22%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Apollon Smyrni has the most likely position - 14 (92.21%), has project points - 19, has currently - 10, has a good chance of relegated (95%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has small quality17, importance34, small match rating25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lamia won 0.
Recent matches Lamia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Apollon Smyrni has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Apollon Smyrni could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Lamia is a favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Lamia won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Lamia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.