The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Apollon Smyrni 15.2%
Draw 25.3%
Panathinaikos 59.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.1%
25.5%
56.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15%
21.1%
68.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Apollon Smyrni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apollon Smyrni than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Panathinaikos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14%
7%
78.9%
Apollon Smyrni - Panathinaikos Predictions
Users Predictions:
Panathinaikos will win
(45 of 57 users predict this - 78.95%). Confidence interval (95%): 68.37% โ 89.53%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group)).
Apollon Smyrni is Super League (Relegation Group)
Apollon Smyrni has the most likely position - 14 (82.69%), has project points - 21, has currently - 10, has a good chance of relegated (89%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Panathinaikos has the most likely position - 4 (24.25%), has project points - 53, has currently - 33, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
This event has small quality22, small importance15, small match rating18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Apollon Smyrni won 0.
Apollon Smyrni has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Panathinaikos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Panathinaikos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Panathinaikos is a favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Apollon Smyrni won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 9-23.
Including matches at home between the teams Apollon Smyrni won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.
Watch
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