The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ionikos Nikaias 18.5%
Draw 24.4%
Apollon Smyrni 57%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.3%
28.8%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.7%
29.2%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ionikos Nikaias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ionikos Nikaias's form might have worsened.
Apollon Smyrni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Apollon Smyrni's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ionikos Nikaias than the current prediction. (+23.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ionikos Nikaias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apollon Smyrni than the current prediction. (-27.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Apollon Smyrni, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.4%
12.3%
59.3%
Ionikos Nikaias - Apollon Smyrni Predictions
Users Predictions:
81 users predict this event. Ionikos will win (votes: 23 - 28.4%). Apollon Smyrni will win (votes: 48 - 59.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 12.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Apollon Smyrni: 48.6% โ 70%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
This event has small quality19, small importance17, small match rating18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Ionikos is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Apollon Smyrni is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Apollon Smyrni is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ionikos won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Ionikos won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
Watch
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