Match Info

Date: 2 April 2022, Saturday


	Apollon Smyrni		Panetolikos

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.4	3	2.25	Watch
	3.15	2.95	2.3
	3.4	3	2.15
	3.53	3.1	2.28
	3.3	3	2.15
	2.83	3.13	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.55)	3.05 ↓ (3.1)	2.28 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Apollon Smyrni
28.4%

Draw
30.7%

Panetolikos
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

29.9%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

31.4%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Apollon Smyrni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Apollon Smyrni's form might have worsened.

Panetolikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Panetolikos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apollon Smyrni than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Apollon Smyrni, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panetolikos than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Panetolikos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Apollon Smyrni - Panetolikos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This event has small quality 16, very small importance 0, very small match rating 8. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Apollon Smyrni won 0.

Apollon Smyrni is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Panetolikos is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Apollon Smyrni have a series of guest games.

Recently Panetolikos have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Apollon Smyrni won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Apollon Smyrni won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Apollon Smyrni FC
Greek Super League
19.03.22	Atromitos Athens - Apollon Smyrni	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	OFI - Apollon Smyrni	2:0 ✺
28.02.22	Apollon Smyrni - Atromitos Athens	0:2 ✺
23.02.22	Ionikos Nikaias - Apollon Smyrni	4:0 ✺
20.02.22	Lamia - Apollon Smyrni	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLLLW
- Panetolikos
Greek Super League
19.03.22	Panetolikos - Lamia	1:2 ✺
06.03.22	Ionikos Nikaias - Panetolikos	1:2 ✺
26.02.22	Panetolikos - Volos	0:0 ✺
19.02.22	Panetolikos - Panathinaikos	1:0 ✺
16.02.22	Panetolikos - Lamia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
12.02.22	Apollon Smyrni - Panetolikos	0:0
21.11.21	Panetolikos - Apollon Smyrni	1:0
Club Friendly
14.08.21	Panetolikos - Apollon Smyrni	1:0
Greek Super League
17.04.21	Panetolikos - Apollon Smyrni	1:0
14.03.21	Apollon Smyrni - Panetolikos	1:0
19.12.20	Panetolikos - Apollon Smyrni	0:1
14.04.19	Apollon Smyrni - Panetolikos	0:1

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