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Current Win Probability
Apollon Smyrni 39.3%
Draw 32.8%
PAS Giannina 27.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.2%
32.3%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23%
23.1%
49.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Apollon Smyrni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Apollon Smyrni's performance.
PAS Giannina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PAS Giannina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apollon Smyrni than the current prediction. (-16.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Apollon Smyrni that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAS Giannina than the current prediction. (+21.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PAS Giannina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Apollon Smyrni - PAS Giannina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group)).
Apollon Smyrni has the most likely position - 14 (33.84%), has project points - 29, has currently - 2, has a chance of relegated (43%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Giannina has the most likely position - 6 (13.44%), has project points - 43, has currently - 9, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Apollon Smyrni is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Giannina is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Apollon Smyrni won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Apollon Smyrni won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.
Watch
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