Match Info

Date: 16 October 2021, Saturday


	Apollon Smyrni		Asteras Tripolis

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.3
	2.95	2.9	2.48
	3.1	2.9	2.35
	3.54	2.94	2.37
	3.1	2.9	2.4
	3.32	3.1	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.87)	2.99 ↓ (3.14)	2.36 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Apollon Smyrni
29%

Draw
31.3%

Asteras Tripolis
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

29.7%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

20.6%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Apollon Smyrni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Asteras Tripolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apollon Smyrni than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Apollon Smyrni, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asteras Tripolis than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Asteras Tripolis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	48%	32%

Apollon Smyrni - Asteras Tripolis Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Apollon Smyrni will win (votes: 5 - 20%). Asteras Tripolis will win (votes: 8 - 32%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 48%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.4% – 67.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group) and 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group)).

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Apollon Smyrni won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 4-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Apollon Smyrni won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Apollon Smyrni FC
Greek Super League
02.10.21	Aris - Apollon Smyrni	0:0 ✺
27.09.21	Apollon Smyrni - Ionikos Nikaias	0:0 ✺
22.09.21	Olympiacos Piraeus - Apollon Smyrni	4:1 ✺
19.09.21	Apollon Smyrni - Volos	1:3 ✺
11.09.21	Panathinaikos - Apollon Smyrni	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTLLL
- Asteras Tripolis
Greek Super League
02.10.21	Volos - Asteras Tripolis	2:1 ✺
26.09.21	Asteras Tripolis - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:2 ✺
22.09.21	OFI - Asteras Tripolis	0:0 ✺
19.09.21	Asteras Tripolis - PAOK	0:1 ✺
11.09.21	Panetolikos - Asteras Tripolis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
04.08.21	Asteras Tripolis - Apollon Smyrni	4:0
Greek Super League
10.01.21	Apollon Smyrni - Asteras Tripolis	0:1
25.11.20	Asteras Tripolis - Apollon Smyrni	0:0
03.02.19	Apollon Smyrni - Asteras Tripolis	0:2
Greek Cup
25.09.18	Asteras Tripolis - Apollon Smyrni	2:1
Greek Super League
22.09.18	Asteras Tripolis - Apollon Smyrni	2:0
29.04.18	Asteras Tripolis - Apollon Smyrni	2:1

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