Match Info

Date: 16 April 2022, Saturday


	Apollon Smyrni		Volos

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.8	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.15
	2.03	3.45	3.3
	2.06	3.38	3.78
	2.2	3	3.2
	2.15	3.35	3.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.73)	3.25 ↑ (3.14)	3.45 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Apollon Smyrni
44%

Draw
28.8%

Volos
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

30.3%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

31.6%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Apollon Smyrni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Apollon Smyrni's performance.

Volos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Volos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apollon Smyrni than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Apollon Smyrni that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volos than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Volos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.1%	5.8%	5.1%

Apollon Smyrni - Volos Predictions

Users Predictions: 137 users predict this event. Apollon Smyrni will win (votes: 122 - 89.1%). Volos will win (votes: 7 - 5.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 5.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Apollon Smyrni: 83.9% – 94.3%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This event has small quality 18, importance 33, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Apollon Smyrni won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Apollon Smyrni will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Apollon Smyrni won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Apollon Smyrni won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Apollon Smyrni FC
Greek Super League
09.04.22	OFI - Apollon Smyrni	1:2 ✺
02.04.22	Apollon Smyrni - Panetolikos	1:0 ✺
19.03.22	Atromitos Athens - Apollon Smyrni	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	OFI - Apollon Smyrni	2:0 ✺
28.02.22	Apollon Smyrni - Atromitos Athens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLLL
- Volos FC
Greek Super League
09.04.22	Volos - Lamia	3:0 ✺
02.04.22	Ionikos Nikaias - Volos	2:2 ✺
19.03.22	Volos - Asteras Tripolis	0:2 ✺
06.03.22	Volos - PAS Giannina	0:0 ✺
03.03.22	Atromitos Athens - Volos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
19.01.22	Volos - Apollon Smyrni	1:0
19.09.21	Apollon Smyrni - Volos	1:3
26.04.21	Apollon Smyrni - Volos	0:0
21.02.21	Volos - Apollon Smyrni	2:0
30.11.20	Apollon Smyrni - Volos	3:3
Club Friendly
17.08.19	Volos - Apollon Smyrni	0:3
08.09.18	Volos - Apollon Smyrni	1:1

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