The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Apollon Smyrni 41.1%
Draw 30.7%
Ionikos Nikaias 28.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44%
28.9%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.6%
19.4%
40.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Apollon Smyrni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Ionikos Nikaias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apollon Smyrni than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Apollon Smyrni that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ionikos Nikaias than the current prediction. (+12%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ionikos Nikaias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
56.2%
6.2%
Apollon Smyrni - Ionikos Nikaias Predictions
Users Predictions:
48 users predict this event. Apollon Smyrni will win (votes: 18 - 37.5%). Ionikos will win (votes: 3 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 27 - 56.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42.3% โ 70.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Apollon Smyrni has the most likely position - 14 (30.15%), has project points - 31, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (39%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Ionikos has the most likely position - 14 (12.58%), has project points - 37, has currently - 4, has a chance of relegated (19%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Apollon Smyrni is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Ionikos is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Apollon Smyrni will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Apollon Smyrni won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Apollon Smyrni won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
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