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Current Win Probability
Aris 66.3%
Draw 21.9%
Apollon Smyrni 11.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69%
21%
10%
Our Initial ML Estimation
79.3%
18.3%
8.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Apollon Smyrni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+13%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aris, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apollon Smyrni than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
8.3%
16.7%
Aris - Apollon Smyrni Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Apollon Smyrni will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Aris: 57.7% โ 92.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group) and 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group)).
Aris has the most likely position - 4 (15.47%), has project points - 50, has currently - 7, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (7%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Apollon Smyrni has the most likely position - 14 (31.16%), has project points - 31, has currently - 1, has a chance of relegated (40%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Aris is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Apollon Smyrni is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Apollon Smyrni could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Aris is indisputable favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Aris won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Aris won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-2.
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