Match Info

Date: 9 April 2022, Saturday


	OFI		Apollon Smyrni

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.77	3.5	4.4
	1.7	3.45	4.75
	1.85	3.3	4
	1.88	3.38	4.6
	1.78	3.3	4.33
	1.88	3.58	4.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.97)	3.43 ↓ (3.49)	4.37 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OFI
51.4%

Draw
27.2%

Apollon Smyrni
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

27.2%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

26.7%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OFI has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Apollon Smyrni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OFI than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apollon Smyrni than the current prediction. (+3%)

OFI - Apollon Smyrni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This event has small quality 18, very small importance 5, small match rating 12. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches OFI won 0.

Recent matches OFI is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Apollon Smyrni is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match OFI is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches OFI won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-9.

Including matches at home between the teams OFI won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OFI Crete
Greek Super League
02.04.22	Lamia - OFI	1:2 ✺
19.03.22	OFI - Ionikos Nikaias	2:3 ✺
06.03.22	OFI - Apollon Smyrni	2:0 ✺
27.02.22	Olympiacos Piraeus - OFI	2:0 ✺
19.02.22	Ionikos Nikaias - OFI	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLT
- Apollon Smyrni FC
Greek Super League
02.04.22	Apollon Smyrni - Panetolikos	1:0 ✺
19.03.22	Atromitos Athens - Apollon Smyrni	1:0 ✺
06.03.22	OFI - Apollon Smyrni	2:0 ✺
28.02.22	Apollon Smyrni - Atromitos Athens	0:2 ✺
23.02.22	Ionikos Nikaias - Apollon Smyrni	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
06.03.22	OFI - Apollon Smyrni	2:0
12.01.22	Apollon Smyrni - OFI	0:3
Club Friendly
21.08.21	Apollon Smyrni - OFI	1:2
Greek Super League
10.04.21	Apollon Smyrni - OFI	0:0
27.02.21	Apollon Smyrni - OFI	2:1
06.12.20	OFI - Apollon Smyrni	0:2
10.03.19	Apollon Smyrni - OFI	0:0

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