Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Iliria		Korabi Peshkopi

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.95
	1.85	3.08	4.01
	1.86	3.23	3.97	Watch
	1.88	3.14	4.03
	2.1	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.1)	3.11 ↓ (3.3)	3.81 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iliria
47.3%

Draw
29%

Korabi Peshkopi
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

27.4%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

27%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iliria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Korabi Peshkopi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Korabi Peshkopi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iliria than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korabi Peshkopi than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Korabi Peshkopi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Iliria - Korabi Peshkopi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Iliria will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Korabi will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Iliria (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Lika G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 2 - 0, Mavanga D. J. ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, Marku T. (Pen),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: ))

Iliria is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Korabi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Korabi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Iliria could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Iliria
Albanian First Division
19.10.25	Kastrioti - Iliria	1:1 ✺
Albanian Cup
15.10.25	Iliria - Luzi United	5:1 ✺
Albanian First Division
04.10.25	Iliria - Besa Kavajë	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Iliria - Kukësi	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Iliria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWWL
- Korabi Peshkopi
Albanian First Division
19.10.25	Korabi Peshkopi - Lushnja	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Burreli - Korabi Peshkopi	0:3 ✺
19.09.25	Laçi - Korabi Peshkopi	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Kastrioti - Korabi Peshkopi	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Korabi Peshkopi - Besa Kavajë	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLTT

Iliria - Korabi Peshkopi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide