Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadiumi Loni Papuciu (Fier)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Apolonia Fier		Kukësi

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.7	7.1
	1.41	3.82	7.82	Watch
	1.4	3.68	8.65
	1.4	3.66	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.4)	3.72 ↑ (3.66)	7.64 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Apolonia Fier
63.9%

Draw
24.3%

Kukësi
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

24.2%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

22.4%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Apolonia Fier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Kukësi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apolonia Fier than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kukësi than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Apolonia Fier - Kukësi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Ndubuisi E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 2 - 0, Onywuenyi R. C. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Apolonia won 2.

Apolonia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kukësi is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kukësi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Apolonia is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Apolonia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:21. (average 0.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Apolonia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Apolonia Fier
Albanian Cup
19.11.25	Apolonia Fier - Lushnja	3:2 ✺
Albanian First Division
09.11.25	Apolonia Fier - Skënderbeu Korçë	2:3 ✺
03.11.25	Pogradeci - Apolonia Fier	1:0 ✺
28.10.25	Apolonia Fier - Iliria	0:0 ✺
24.10.25	Lushnja - Apolonia Fier	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLTW
- KS Kukësi
Albanian Cup
19.11.25	Besa Kavajë - Kukësi	3:1 ✺
Albanian First Division
08.11.25	Korabi Peshkopi - Kukësi	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Kukësi - Kastrioti	0:1 ✺
29.10.25	Besa Kavajë - Kukësi	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Kukësi - Luftëtari Gjirokastër	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
23.08.25	Kukësi - Apolonia Fier	2:1
27.03.25	Kukësi - Apolonia Fier	1:2
11.09.24	Kukësi - Apolonia Fier	1:2
Albanian Cup
02.02.23	Kukësi - Apolonia Fier	5:0
Albanian Super League
13.05.21	Apolonia Fier - Kukësi	0:3
12.03.21	Kukësi - Apolonia Fier	1:1
Albanian Cup
24.06.20	Kukësi - Apolonia Fier	3:1

Apolonia Fier - Kukësi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide