Match Info

Date: 18 April 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Aprilia		Recanatese

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3
	2.09	2.85	3.6
	2.11	2.82	3.69
	2.25	3	2.88
	2.1	3.15	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.27)	2.96 ↓ (3)	3.31 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aprilia
42.1%

Draw
30.6%

Recanatese
27.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.6%

30%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

21.8%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aprilia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aprilia than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aprilia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Recanatese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aprilia - Recanatese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 9).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Aprilia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aprilia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aprilia
Italian Serie D - Group F
01.04.21	Tolentino - Aprilia	2:2 ✺
28.03.21	Aprilia - Notaresco	0:1 ✺
07.03.21	Aprilia - Matese	0:0 ✺
03.03.21	Recanatese - Aprilia	1:4
28.02.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Aprilia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLTWL
- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie D - Group F
14.04.21	Recanatese - Montegiorgio	2:0 ✺
11.04.21	Roma City - Recanatese	1:0 ✺
28.03.21	Rieti - Recanatese	0:0 ✺
24.03.21	Recanatese - Tolentino	2:2 ✺
21.03.21	Recanatese - Pineto	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
03.03.21	Recanatese - Aprilia	1:4

Aprilia - Recanatese

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Aprilia - Recanatese Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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