Match Info

Date: 1 April 2021, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Tolentino		Aprilia

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.5	3.9
	2.23	2.48	3.9
	2.29	2.41	4.06
	2.2	2.62	3.75
	2.05	2.9	3.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.23)	2.58 ↑ (2.47)	3.89 ↓ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tolentino
41.4%

Draw
35.2%

Aprilia
23.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.6%

36.7%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

26.2%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tolentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Aprilia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolentino than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tolentino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aprilia than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aprilia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tolentino - Aprilia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Serie D to Group A).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Tolentino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Tolentino have a series of guest games.

Tolentino will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tolentino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Tolentino
Italian Serie D - Group F
28.03.21	Pineto - Tolentino	1:2 ✺
24.03.21	Recanatese - Tolentino	2:2 ✺
13.03.21	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Tolentino	3:3 ✺
07.03.21	Giulianova - Tolentino	2:0 ✺
03.03.21	Notaresco - Tolentino	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTTLT
- Aprilia
Italian Serie D - Group F
28.03.21	Aprilia - Notaresco	0:1 ✺
07.03.21	Aprilia - Matese	0:0 ✺
03.03.21	Recanatese - Aprilia	1:4
28.02.21	Castelnuovo Vomano - Aprilia	3:2 ✺
24.02.21	Aprilia - Castelfidardo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
13.12.20	Aprilia - Tolentino	2:1

Tolentino - Aprilia

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Tolentino - Aprilia Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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