Match Info

Date: 13 May 2021, Thursday


	Aragua		Deportivo La Equidad

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.72	Watch
	4.25	3.5	1.72
	4.5	3.35	1.73	Watch
	4.5	3.35	1.73
	4.76	3.51	1.78
	4.75	3.3	1.8	Watch
	4.3	3.5	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↑ (4.18)	3.43 ↓ (3.47)	1.75 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aragua
20.5%

Draw
26.9%

Deportivo La Equidad
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

26.2%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

20.7%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aragua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Deportivo La Equidad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo La Equidad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aragua - Deportivo La Equidad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Aragua has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches La Equidad is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match La Equidad is a favorite.

Recent matches La Equidad is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aragua won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aragua FC
Copa Sudamericana
06.05.21	Grêmio - Aragua	8:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
02.05.21	Deportivo Lara - Aragua	4:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.04.21	Deportivo La Equidad - Aragua	2:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
25.04.21	Aragua - Gran Valencia	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
22.04.21	Aragua - Lanús	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Deportivo La Equidad
Copa Sudamericana
06.05.21	Deportivo La Equidad - Lanús	0:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
02.05.21	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo La Equidad	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.04.21	Deportivo La Equidad - Aragua	2:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
25.04.21	Deportivo La Equidad - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
22.04.21	Grêmio - Deportivo La Equidad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
29.04.21	Deportivo La Equidad - Aragua	2:1

Aragua - Deportivo La Equidad: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide