Match Info

Date: 24 July 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Futbol de Lara (Barquisimeto)

Referee: Soto J. (Ven)


	Deportivo Lara		Aragua

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.75	6
	1.57	3.15	5.5
	1.47	3.75	6.2
	1.56	3.22	6.32
	1.5	3.5	7
	1.55	3.62	6.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (2.27)	3.5 ↑ (3.1)	6.3 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Lara
59.6%

Draw
26%

Aragua
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

29.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

28%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Lara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Lara's performance.

Aragua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aragua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Lara than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Lara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aragua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	0%	5.9%

Deportivo Lara - Aragua Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Deportivo Lara will win (votes: 16 - 94.1%). Aragua will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Lara: 82.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Lara won 1.

Deportivo Lara is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aragua has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Deportivo Lara is a favorite.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Deportivo Lara won 8 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 26-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Lara won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Lara
Venezuelan Primera Division
14.07.22	Hermanos Colmenares - Deportivo Lara	3:1 ✺
09.07.22	Zamora - Deportivo Lara	2:0 ✺
01.07.22	Deportivo Lara - Universidad Central	0:0 ✺
17.06.22	Carabobo - Deportivo Lara	2:2 ✺
09.06.22	Deportivo Lara - Metropolitanos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTTL
- Aragua FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
14.07.22	Aragua - Monagas	2:4 ✺
07.07.22	Universidad Central - Aragua	2:1 ✺
30.06.22	Aragua - Metropolitanos	2:3 ✺
16.06.22	Portuguesa Acarígua - Aragua	1:0 ✺
09.06.22	Deportivo Táchira - Aragua	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
28.04.22	Aragua - Deportivo Lara	1:1
24.09.21	Aragua - Deportivo Lara	0:0
08.08.21	Deportivo Lara - Aragua	1:1
19.06.21	Aragua - Deportivo Lara	0:0
02.05.21	Deportivo Lara - Aragua	4:1
22.02.20	Aragua - Deportivo Lara	0:1
19.10.19	Aragua - Deportivo Lara	2:2

Deportivo Lara - Aragua: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide