The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Nacional 78.2%
Draw 14.5%
Deportivo La Equidad 7.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.9%
20.4%
10.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.7%
19.3%
10.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Nacional's performance.
Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Nacional that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
Atlético Nacional - Deportivo La Equidad Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ospina D. (G) 23. Arias J. J. 16. Tesillo W. 20. Castro J. 17. Salazar A. 18. Hinestroza M. 10. Cardona E. 80. Zapata J. 8. Uribe M. 29. Sarmiento A. 9. Morelos A.
1. Beltran E. (G) 26. Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 2. Vivas C. 4. Rodas M. (C) 13. Abonia Y. 23. Castilla J. 5. Masllorens J. 10. Mayo S. 7. Micolta Piedahita J. 30. Parra Atehortua K. 8. Monaco M.
Substitutes
11. Arce B. 19. Batista F. 15. Castillo H. (G) 28. Garcia S. 37. Landazuri L. 44. Obando J. 26. Rivero E. 35. Rosa J. 36. Uribe C.
20. Angel Amaya Pena M. 17. Chaverra F. 6. Copete D. 32. Gomez Palacio Y. A. (G) 70. Gonzalez F. 16. Montano B. 22. Pena D.
Coaches
Gandolfi J.
Merino D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Zapata J. ⚽, Cardona E. (A),
34', 2 - 0, Sarmiento A. ⚽, Hinestroza M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Monaco M. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Parra Atehortua K. ⚽, Gonzalez F. (A),
52', Uribe M. 🟨,
53', Cardona E. 🟨,
68', 3 - 1, Morelos A. ⚽,
70', Uribe M. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
70', Cardona E. ↓, Arce B. ↑,
76', Castilla J. ↓, Copete D. ↑,
78', Morelos A. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
87', Hinestroza M. ↓, Rosa J. ↑,
87', Sarmiento A. ↓, Obando J. ↑,
87', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
87', Micolta Piedahita J. ↓, Pena D. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 2.
Atlético Nacional has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
La Equidad has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
La Equidad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Atlético Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 1.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.7:0.7).
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Ospina D. (G) 
Vivas C. 
Masllorens J. 
Monaco M. 
Arce B. 
Batista F. 
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