Match Info

Date: 28 April 2022, Thursday


	Aragua		Deportivo Lara

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.75	2.75	Watch
	2.48	2.65	2.9
	2.45	2.75	2.85
	2.67	2.64	2.79
	2.55	2.8	2.88
	2.6	3.02	2.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.36)	2.77 ↓ (2.89)	2.83 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aragua
35.4%

Draw
32.7%

Deportivo Lara
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

31.2%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

33.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aragua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Deportivo Lara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aragua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Lara than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	58.3%	16.7%

Aragua - Deportivo Lara Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Aragua will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Deportivo Lara will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aragua won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Aragua won 5 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Aragua won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aragua FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
21.04.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Aragua	3:3 ✺
15.04.22	Aragua - Carabobo	1:1 ✺
07.04.22	Zamora - Aragua	1:1 ✺
02.04.22	Aragua - Zulia	0:0 ✺
26.03.22	Mineros de Guayana - Aragua	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTTTW
- Deportivo Lara
Venezuelan Primera Division
23.04.22	Deportivo Lara - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:2 ✺
16.04.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Deportivo Lara	2:3 ✺
08.04.22	Deportivo Lara - Portuguesa Acarígua	1:0 ✺
31.03.22	Deportivo Táchira - Deportivo Lara	2:0 ✺
27.03.22	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Lara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
24.09.21	Aragua - Deportivo Lara	0:0
08.08.21	Deportivo Lara - Aragua	1:1
19.06.21	Aragua - Deportivo Lara	0:0
02.05.21	Deportivo Lara - Aragua	4:1
22.02.20	Aragua - Deportivo Lara	0:1
19.10.19	Aragua - Deportivo Lara	2:2
28.04.19	Deportivo Lara - Aragua	1:2

Aragua - Deportivo Lara: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide