Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 11

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium (Samtredia)


	Samtredia		Aragvi Dusheti

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.4	3.4
	1.93	3.36	3.36
	1.99	3.28	3.5	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.4
	1.92	3.4	3.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.82)	3.33 ↓ (3.5)	3.43 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samtredia
46.6%

Draw
27.1%

Aragvi Dusheti
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

26.2%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

25.6%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samtredia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Aragvi Dusheti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samtredia than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aragvi Dusheti than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Samtredia - Aragvi Dusheti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Labadze A. (G) 2. Gvishiani G. 39. Nosegbe-Susko D. 22. Mchedlishvili G. 15. Kveladze G. 7. Mandzhgaladze G. (C) 31. Tsulaia L. 20. Gagnidze O. 8. Samurkasovi D. 40. Chikovani T. 9. Makatsaria T.	12. Kutateladze G. (G) 3. Molashvili T. 14. Zaridze I. 5. Chokheli L. 21. Mensa N. 27. Nuhu B. 17. Janelidze G. (C) 24. Gognadze T. 18. Bregvadze T. 30. Bzekalava T. 7. Gabisonia D.
Substitutes
30. Akhalkatsi S. 27. Aleksidze T. 10. Cordero Gonzalez J. 29. Gigashvili Z. 19. Jangidze T. 4. Kaladze L. 32. Lopez B. 23. Meparishvili D. (G) 11. Odikadze T.	8. Akhvlediani N. 16. Amoako D. 11. Dvalishvili S. 10. Kobakhidze L. 25. Kobalia D. (G) 22. Kokosadze N. 19. Ksovreli G. 20. Oppong A. 26. Tuychibaev M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Gagnidze O. ⚽, Mandzhgaladze G. (A),
35', 2 - 0, Makatsaria T. ⚽, Gagnidze O. (A),
40', Gognadze T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Molashvili T. ↓, Ksovreli G. ↑,
46', Gabisonia D. ↓, Amoako D. ↑,
46', Gognadze T. ↓, Oppong A. ↑,
46', Chokheli L. ↓, Dvalishvili S. ↑,
50', Bzekalava T. 🟨,
56', Kveladze G. 🟨,
59', Samurkasovi D. ↓, Cordero Gonzalez J. ↑,
59', Gagnidze O. ↓, Odikadze T. ↑,
64', Bregvadze T. 🟥,
75', Makatsaria T. ↓, Gigashvili Z. ↑,
75', Chikovani T. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
79', Gvishiani G. 🟨,
80', Janelidze G. ↓, Kobakhidze L. ↑,
83', Gvishiani G. ↓, Kaladze L. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation) and 4).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Samtredia is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Samtredia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Samtredia	27	11	4	12	48:40	8	37
6	Dusheti	27	10	5	12	30:37	-7	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Samtredia
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
02.05.26	Samtredia - Sioni Bolnisi	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Samtredia - Merani Martvili	1:4 ✺
22.04.26	Kolkheti Poti - Samtredia	1:3 ✺
18.04.26	Samtredia - Gareji Sagarejo	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sioni Bolnisi - Samtredia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWLL
- Aragvi Dusheti
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
02.05.26	Aragvi Dusheti - Telavi	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Sioni Bolnisi - Aragvi Dusheti	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Aragvi Dusheti - Odishi 1919	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Merani Martvili - Aragvi Dusheti	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Telavi - Aragvi Dusheti	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
07.03.26	Aragvi Dusheti - Samtredia	2:1
Georgian Cup
21.07.24	Aragvi Dusheti - Samtredia	0:2

Samtredia - Aragvi Dusheti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide