Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 - Round 16

Date: 29 May 2026, Friday

Location: Tsentraluri Stadioni (Dusheti)


	Aragvi Dusheti		Merani Martvili

	1	X	2
	2.48	3	2.68
	2.5	3	2.64
	2.96	2.97	2.39	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.63
	2.49	3.02	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (3.15)	2.96 ↑ (2.9)	2.6 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aragvi Dusheti
34.8%

Draw
30.5%

Merani Martvili
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

31.6%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

31.8%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aragvi Dusheti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aragvi Dusheti's performance.

Merani Martvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aragvi Dusheti than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aragvi Dusheti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merani Martvili than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Aragvi Dusheti - Merani Martvili Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chikashua G. (G) 24. Gognadze T. 3. Molashvili T. 14. Zaridze I. 21. Mensa N. 20. Oppong A. 30. Bzekalava T. 17. Janelidze G. 10. Kobakhidze L. 18. Bregvadze T. (C) 16. Amoako D.	1. Khamkhoev K. (G) 23. Gvasalia G. 4. Kharabadze N. 25. Mala D. 11. Ugrekhelidze G. 14. Khelaia D. 20. Gagity R. 33. Laghadze B. (C) 9. Jolokhava A. 5. Chumburidze N. 7. Esonkulov J.
Substitutes
11. Dvalishvili S. 7. Gabisonia D. 22. Kokosadze N. 19. Ksovreli G. 12. Kutateladze G. (G) 27. Nuhu B. 40. Sulakvelidze T. 26. Tuychibaev M.	22. Askerov R. 31. Chachava V. (G) 8. Kadaria L. 10. Sikharulia Z. 18. Tsulaia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Khamkhoev K. 🟨,
52', 1 - 0, Gognadze T. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Jolokhava A. ↓, Kadaria L. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Molashvili T. (Own goal),
63', Chumburidze N. ↓, Tsulaia L. ↑,
73', Bzekalava T. ↓, Dvalishvili S. ↑,
84', Oppong A. ↓, Ksovreli G. ↑,
84', Laghadze B. ↓, Sikharulia Z. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Promotion: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aragvi won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Aragvi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Merani Martvili	27	10	7	10	30:34	-4	37
6	Dusheti	27	10	5	12	30:37	-7	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aragvi Dusheti
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
24.05.26	Shturmi - Aragvi Dusheti	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Aragvi Dusheti - Kolkheti Poti	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Gori - Aragvi Dusheti	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Aragvi Dusheti - Gareji Sagarejo	0:1 ✺
06.05.26	Samtredia - Aragvi Dusheti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWLL
- Merani Martvili
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
24.05.26	Merani Martvili - Kolkheti Poti	1:0 ✺
20.05.26	Gareji Sagarejo - Merani Martvili	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Merani Martvili - Telavi	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Odishi 1919 - Merani Martvili	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Merani Martvili - Shturmi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
18.04.26	Merani Martvili - Aragvi Dusheti	1:1
05.10.20	Aragvi Dusheti - Merani Martvili	1:1
14.07.20	Merani Martvili - Aragvi Dusheti	2:0

Aragvi Dusheti - Merani Martvili: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide