Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 28

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Arandina		Atlético Tordesillas

	1	X	2
	4.25	2.72	1.98
	4.29	2.75	1.99
	4.35	2.8	2
	3.8	2.8	2
	4.31	2.76	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 (4.2)	2.77 ↑ (2.77)	1.99 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arandina
21.6%

Draw
32.8%

Atlético Tordesillas
45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

32.4%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Arandina have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Atlético Tordesillas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tordesillas than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Arandina - Atlético Tordesillas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+10', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+13', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arandina won 1.

Recent performances by Arandina have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tordesillas is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Tordesillas is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Arandina won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Arandina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Arandina	5	2	2	1	7:6	1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Tordesillas - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 45.62%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arandina CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
21.03.26	Numancia B - Arandina	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Arandina - Palencia CA	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Villaralbo - Arandina	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Arandina - Colegios Diocesanos	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Unionistas B - Arandina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWT
- Atlético Tordesillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
21.03.26	Atlético Tordesillas - Bembibre	4:1 ✺
14.03.26	Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Tordesillas	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Atlético Tordesillas - La Virgen del Camino	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Atlético Mansillés - Atlético Tordesillas	0:4 ✺
22.02.26	Mirandés B - Atlético Tordesillas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
16.11.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Arandina	3:1
29.09.24	Atlético Tordesillas - Arandina	0:0
12.03.23	Arandina - Atlético Tordesillas	3:0
06.11.22	Atlético Tordesillas - Arandina	0:0
27.03.22	Arandina - Atlético Tordesillas	0:0
14.11.21	Atlético Tordesillas - Arandina	0:0
01.05.21	Atlético Tordesillas - Arandina	1:0

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