Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday


	Arandina		Atlético Astorga

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.85	2.87
	2.39	2.95	2.9
	2.39	3.03	2.96
	2.34	3.02	2.94
	2.39	2.95	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.31)	2.96 ↓ (3.2)	2.91 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arandina
38.2%

Draw
30.6%

Atlético Astorga
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.4%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

28.5%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arandina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Arandina - Atlético Astorga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arandina CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
11.01.25	Arandina - Atlético Palencia	3:2 ✺
04.01.25	Becerril - Arandina	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Arandina - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Villaralbo - Arandina	0:1 ✺
07.12.24	Arandina - Briviesca	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWT
- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
05.01.25	Atlético Palencia - Atlético Astorga	3:2 ✺
21.12.24	Atlético Astorga - Becerril	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Astorga	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Atlético Astorga - Villaralbo	3:1 ✺
30.11.24	Briviesca - Atlético Astorga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
07.09.24	Atlético Astorga - Arandina	3:1
09.04.23	Arandina - Atlético Astorga	2:1
11.12.22	Atlético Astorga - Arandina	0:2
30.04.22	Atlético Astorga - Arandina	0:3
19.12.21	Arandina - Atlético Astorga	1:0
17.11.19	Arandina - Atlético Astorga	1:0
22.12.18	Atlético Astorga - Arandina	0:0

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